Systemic sovereign credit risk: Lessons from the US and Europe

A Ang, FA Longstaff - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2013 - Elsevier
We study the nature of systemic sovereign credit risk using CDS spreads for the US
Treasury, individual US states, and major Eurozone countries. Using a multifactor affine …

The dynamics of spillover effects during the European sovereign debt turmoil

A Alter, A Beyer - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2014 - Elsevier
In this paper we modify and extend the framework of Diebold and Yilmaz (2011) to quantify
spillovers between sovereign credit markets and banks in the euro area. Spillovers are …

The euro area sovereign debt crisis: Can contagion spread from the periphery to the core?

D Gorea, D Radev - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2014 - Elsevier
We examine the determinants of joint default risk of euro area countries during 2007–2011.
To accomplish this, we recover joint default probabilities from individual CDS contracts. In …

The pricing of G7 sovereign bond spreads–The times, they are a-changin

A D'Agostino, M Ehrmann - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2014 - Elsevier
Against the background of the current debate about fiscal sustainability in several advanced
economies, this paper estimates determinants of G7 sovereign bond spreads, using high …

Disentangling contagion among sovereign CDS spreads during the European debt crisis

C Broto, G Perez-Quiros - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2015 - Elsevier
During the last crisis, developed economies' sovereign credit default swap (hereafter CDS)
premia have gained in importance as a tool for approximating credit risk. In this paper, we fit …

Deciphering financial contagion in the euro area during the crisis

A Tola, S Wälti - The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 2015 - Elsevier
Financial market interdependence has been at the epicenter of the crisis in the euro area.
This paper tests for the existence of financial contagion during this crisis, defined as the …

Volatility in EMU sovereign bond yields: permanent and transitory components

S Sosvilla-Rivero… - Applied Financial …, 2012 - Taylor & Francis
This article explores the evolving relationship in the volatility of sovereign yields in the
European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). To that end, we examine the behaviour of …

Dealing with dealers: Sovereign CDS comovements

M Antón, S Mayordomo… - Journal of Banking & …, 2018 - Elsevier
We show that sovereign CDS that have common dealers tend to be more correlated,
especially when the dealers display similar quoting activity in those contracts over time. This …

[PDF][PDF] Assessing systemic fragility–a probabilistic perspective

D Radev - 2014 - papers.ssrn.com
We outline a procedure for consistent estimation of marginal and joint default risk in the euro
area financial system. We interpret the latter risk as the intrinsic financial system fragility and …

Disentangling contagion among Sovereign CDS spreads during the European debt crisis

C Broto, G Perez-Quiros - 2013 - papers.ssrn.com
During the last crisis, developed economies' sovereign Credit Default Swap (hereafter CDS)
premia have gained in importance as a tool for approximating credit risk. In this paper, we fit …