Since the 2001 recession, average core inflation has been below the Federal Reserve's 2% target. This deflationary bias is a predictable consequence of a symmetric monetary policy …
The secular decline in the equilibrium real interest rate observed over the past decades has materially limited the room for policy-rate reductions in recessions, and has led to a marked …
F Budianto, T Nakata, S Schmidt - European Economic Review, 2023 - Elsevier
Under conventional inflation targeting (IT), the lower bound on nominal interest rates gives rise to a systematic downward bias in inflation that substantially reduces welfare. Using two …
This paper applies a New Keynesian model to analyze monetary policy in the presence of a low natural rate of interest and a lower bound on interest rates. Under standard inflation …
This paper uses a standard New Keynesian model to analyze the effects and implementation of various monetary policy frameworks in the presence of a low natural rate …
TS Hills, T Nakata, S Schmidt - European Economic Review, 2019 - Elsevier
Even when the policy rate is currently not constrained by its effective lower bound (ELB), the possibility that the policy rate will become constrained in the future lowers today's inflation by …
O De Groot, A Haas - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
Negative policy rates can convince markets that deposit rates will remain lower-for-longer, even when current deposit rates are constrained by zero. This is the signalling channel of …
T Nakata, S Schmidt - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
In an economy with an occasionally binding zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint, the anticipation of future ZLB episodes creates a trade-off for discretionary central banks …
T Nakata, S Schmidt - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2022 - aeaweb.org
We study optimal time-consistent monetary and fiscal policy in a New Keynesian model where occasional declines in agents' confidence give rise to persistent liquidity trap …