The state of New Keynesian economics: a partial assessment

J Galí - Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2018 - aeaweb.org
In August 2007, when the first signs emerged of what would come to be the most damaging
global financial crisis since the Great Depression, the New Keynesian paradigm was …

Hitting the elusive inflation target

F Bianchi, L Melosi, M Rottner - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Since the 2001 recession, average core inflation has been below the Federal Reserve's 2%
target. This deflationary bias is a predictable consequence of a symmetric monetary policy …

Macroeconomic stabilisation and monetary policy effectiveness in a low-interest-rate environment

G Coenen, C Montes-Galdon, S Schmidt - Journal of Economic Dynamics …, 2021 - Elsevier
The secular decline in the equilibrium real interest rate observed over the past decades has
materially limited the room for policy-rate reductions in recessions, and has led to a marked …

Average inflation targeting and the interest rate lower bound

F Budianto, T Nakata, S Schmidt - European Economic Review, 2023 - Elsevier
Under conventional inflation targeting (IT), the lower bound on nominal interest rates gives
rise to a systematic downward bias in inflation that substantially reduces welfare. Using two …

Monetary policy frameworks and the effective lower bound on interest rates

TM Mertens, JC Williams - AEA Papers and Proceedings, 2019 - aeaweb.org
This paper applies a New Keynesian model to analyze monetary policy in the presence of a
low natural rate of interest and a lower bound on interest rates. Under standard inflation …

Tying down the anchor: Monetary policy rules and the lower bound on interest rates

TM Mertens, JC Williams - FRB of New York Staff Report, 2019 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper uses a standard New Keynesian model to analyze the effects and
implementation of various monetary policy frameworks in the presence of a low natural rate …

Effective lower bound risk

TS Hills, T Nakata, S Schmidt - European Economic Review, 2019 - Elsevier
Even when the policy rate is currently not constrained by its effective lower bound (ELB), the
possibility that the policy rate will become constrained in the future lowers today's inflation by …

The signalling channel of negative interest rates

O De Groot, A Haas - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
Negative policy rates can convince markets that deposit rates will remain lower-for-longer,
even when current deposit rates are constrained by zero. This is the signalling channel of …

Conservatism and liquidity traps

T Nakata, S Schmidt - Journal of Monetary Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
In an economy with an occasionally binding zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint, the
anticipation of future ZLB episodes creates a trade-off for discretionary central banks …

Expectations-driven liquidity traps: implications for monetary and fiscal Policy

T Nakata, S Schmidt - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2022 - aeaweb.org
We study optimal time-consistent monetary and fiscal policy in a New Keynesian model
where occasional declines in agents' confidence give rise to persistent liquidity trap …