The seismicity rate model for the 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand national seismic hazard model

MC Gerstenberger, R Van Dissen… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
ABSTRACT A seismicity rate model (SRM) has been developed as part of the 2022
Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model revision. The SRM consists of many …

Uniform California earthquake rupture forecast, version 3 (UCERF3)—The time‐independent model

EH Field, RJ Arrowsmith, GP Biasi… - Bulletin of the …, 2014 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP14)
present the time‐independent component of the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture …

The 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand National seismic hazard model: process, overview, and results

MC Gerstenberger, S Bora… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2022 revision of Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model (NZ
NSHM 2022) has involved significant revision of all datasets and model components. In this …

Long‐term time‐dependent probabilities for the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)

EH Field, GP Biasi, P Bird… - Bulletin of the …, 2015 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP 2014)
presents time‐dependent earthquake probabilities for the third Uniform California …

Review: Past and Future Fault Rupture Lengths in Seismic Source Characterization—The Long and Short of It

DP Schwartz - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of …, 2018 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The potential rupture length of an active fault is primary input, and an uncertainty, in source
characterization for seismic hazard analysis. The past several decades have seen source …

Advancements in multi-rupture time-dependent seismic hazard modeling, including fault interaction

S Iacoletti, G Cremen, C Galasso - Earth-Science Reviews, 2021 - Elsevier
Several recent earthquake events (eg, 2008 moment-magnitude (MW) 8.0 Wenchuan,
China; 2016 MW 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake, New Zealand; 2019 MW 6.4–7.1 Ridgecrest …

Steps and gaps in ground ruptures: Empirical bounds on rupture propagation

GP Biasi, SG Wesnousky - Bulletin of the Seismological …, 2016 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We analyze a set of 76 mapped surface ruptures for relationships between geometrical
discontinuities in fault traces and earthquake rupture extent. The combined set includes 46 …

Enumerating plausible multifault ruptures in complex fault systems with physical constraints

KR Milner, BE Shaw, EH Field - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We propose a new model for determining the set of plausible multifault ruptures in an
interconnected fault system. We improve upon the rules used in the Third Uniform California …

Bends and ends of surface ruptures

GP Biasi, SG Wesnousky - Bulletin of the Seismological …, 2017 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
To improve the empirical basis for estimating the likely length of future earthquake ruptures
on mapped active faults, we measure map‐scale complexities including fault bends …

A physics-based earthquake simulator replicates seismic hazard statistics across California

BE Shaw, KR Milner, EH Field, K Richards-Dinger… - Science …, 2018 - science.org
Seismic hazard models are important for society, feeding into building codes and hazard
mitigation efforts. These models, however, rest on many uncertain assumptions and are …