A review of the role of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in Atlantic multidecadal variability and associated climate impacts
By synthesizing recent studies employing a wide range of approaches (modern
observations, paleo reconstructions, and climate model simulations), this paper provides a …
observations, paleo reconstructions, and climate model simulations), this paper provides a …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: enabling the exploration of climate system variability
Abstract The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble (MPI‐GE) is the largest ensemble of a
single comprehensive climate model currently available, with 100 members for the historical …
single comprehensive climate model currently available, with 100 members for the historical …
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble
Single model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) are valuable tools that can be used
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
[HTML][HTML] How large does a large ensemble need to be?
S Milinski, N Maher, D Olonscheck - Earth System Dynamics, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
Initial-condition large ensembles with ensemble sizes ranging from 30 to 100 members have
become a commonly used tool for quantifying the forced response and internal variability in …
become a commonly used tool for quantifying the forced response and internal variability in …
Increased risk of near term global warming due to a recent AMOC weakening
Some of the new generation CMIP6 models are characterised by a strong temperature
increase in response to increasing greenhouse gases concentration1. At first glance, these …
increase in response to increasing greenhouse gases concentration1. At first glance, these …
Pattern recognition methods to separate forced responses from internal variability in climate model ensembles and observations
Ensembles of climate model simulations are commonly used to separate externally forced
climate change from internal variability. However, much of the information gained from …
climate change from internal variability. However, much of the information gained from …
Influence of the NAO on wintertime surface air temperature over East Asia: Multidecadal variability and decadal prediction
In this paper, we investigate the influence of the winter NAO on the multidecadal variability of
winter East Asian surface air temperature (EASAT) and EASAT decadal prediction. The …
winter East Asian surface air temperature (EASAT) and EASAT decadal prediction. The …
North Atlantic Oscillation impact on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation shaped by the mean state
Accurate representation of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in global
climate models is crucial for reliable future climate predictions and projections. In this study …
climate models is crucial for reliable future climate predictions and projections. In this study …
Distinct sources of interannual subtropical and subpolar Atlantic overturning variability
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is pivotal for regional and global
climate due to its key role in the uptake and redistribution of heat and carbon. Establishing …
climate due to its key role in the uptake and redistribution of heat and carbon. Establishing …