Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
A signal-to-noise paradox in climate science
We review the growing evidence for a widespread inconsistency between the low strength of
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
Evaluation of climate models
Climate models have continued to be developed and improved since the AR4, and many
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …
models have been extended into Earth System models by including the representation of …
Agriculture in West Africa in the twenty-first century: climate change and impacts scenarios, and potential for adaptation
West Africa is known to be particularly vulnerable to climate change due to high climate
variability, high reliance on rain-fed agriculture, and limited economic and institutional …
variability, high reliance on rain-fed agriculture, and limited economic and institutional …
Near-term climate change: projections and predictability
This chapter assesses the scientific literature describing expectations for near-term climate
(present through mid-century). Unless otherwise stated," near-term" change and the …
(present through mid-century). Unless otherwise stated," near-term" change and the …
The decadal climate prediction project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6
GJ Boer, DM Smith, C Cassou… - Geoscientific Model …, 2016 - gmd.copernicus.org
The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) is a coordinated multi-model investigation
into decadal climate prediction, predictability, and variability. The DCPP makes use of past …
into decadal climate prediction, predictability, and variability. The DCPP makes use of past …
[HTML][HTML] Decadal climate prediction: an update from the trenches
Barsugli, J., C. Anderson, JB Smith, and JM Vogel, 2009: Options for improving climate
modeling to assist water utility planning for climate change. Western Utilities Climate …
modeling to assist water utility planning for climate change. Western Utilities Climate …
[HTML][HTML] CMIP5 scientific gaps and recommendations for CMIP6
CMIP5 Scientific Gaps and Recommendations for CMIP6 in: Bulletin of the American
Meteorological Society Volume 98 Issue 1 (2017) Jump to Content Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo …
Meteorological Society Volume 98 Issue 1 (2017) Jump to Content Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo …
Robust skill of decadal climate predictions
There is a growing need for skilful predictions of climate up to a decade ahead. Decadal
climate predictions show high skill for surface temperature, but confidence in forecasts of …
climate predictions show high skill for surface temperature, but confidence in forecasts of …