Mechanisms and impacts of Earth system tipping elements

S Wang, A Foster, EA Lenz, JD Kessler… - Reviews of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Tipping elements are components of the Earth system which may respond nonlinearly to
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …

Theoretical and paleoclimatic evidence for abrupt transitions in the Earth system

N Boers, M Ghil, TF Stocker - Environmental Research Letters, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
Specific components of the Earth system may abruptly change their state in response to
gradual changes in forcing. This possibility has attracted great scientific interest in recent …

[HTML][HTML] Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation

P Ditlevsen, S Ditlevsen - Nature Communications, 2023 - nature.com
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the
climate system and a future collapse would have severe impacts on the climate in the North …

Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course

RM van Westen, M Kliphuis, HA Dijkstra - Science advances, 2024 - science.org
One of the most prominent climate tipping elements is the Atlantic meridional overturning
circulation (AMOC), which can potentially collapse because of the input of fresh water in the …

Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model

N Wunderling, R Winkelmann, J Rockström… - Nature Climate …, 2023 - nature.com
Current policies and actions make it very likely, at least temporarily, to overshoot the Paris
climate targets of 1.5–< 2.0° C above pre-industrial levels. If this global warming range is …

Framing, Context, and Methods (Chapter 1)

D Chen, M Rojas, BH Samset, K Cobb… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …

Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming

N Wunderling, JF Donges, J Kurths… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
There exists a range of subsystems in the climate system exhibiting threshold behaviour
which could be triggered under global warming within this century resulting in severe …

[HTML][HTML] Future climate change shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation response

K Bellomo, M Angeloni, S Corti… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
In climate model simulations of future climate change, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (AMOC) is projected to decline. However, the impacts of this decline, relative to …

The quiet crossing of ocean tipping points

C Heinze, T Blenckner, H Martins… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
Anthropogenic climate change profoundly alters the ocean's environmental conditions,
which, in turn, impact marine ecosystems. Some of these changes are happening fast and …

Risk of tipping the overturning circulation due to increasing rates of ice melt

J Lohmann, PD Ditlevsen - Proceedings of the National …, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
Central elements of the climate system are at risk for crossing critical thresholds (so-called
tipping points) due to future greenhouse gas emissions, leading to an abrupt transition to a …