The ensemble approach to forecasting: A review and synthesis

H Wu, D Levinson - Transportation Research Part C: Emerging …, 2021 - Elsevier
Ensemble forecasting is a modeling approach that combines data sources, models of
different types, with alternative assumptions, using distinct pattern recognition methods. The …

Uncertainty in traffic forecasts: literature review and new results for The Netherlands

G De Jong, A Daly, M Pieters, S Miller, R Plasmeijer… - Transportation, 2007 - Springer
This paper provides a review of transport model applications that not only provide a central
traffic forecast (or forecasts for a few scenarios), but also quantify the uncertainty in the traffic …

How (in) accurate are demand forecasts in public works projects?: The case of transportation

B Flyvbjerg, MK Skamris Holm… - Journal of the American …, 2005 - Taylor & Francis
This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of traffic forecasts in
transportation infrastructure projects. The sample used is the largest of its kind, covering 210 …

The α-reliable mean-excess traffic equilibrium model with stochastic travel times

A Chen, Z Zhou - Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 2010 - Elsevier
In this paper, we propose a new model called the α-reliable mean-excess traffic equilibrium
(METE) model that explicitly considers both reliability and unreliability aspects of travel time …

Modeling impacts of adverse weather conditions on a road network with uncertainties in demand and supply

WHK Lam, H Shao, A Sumalee - Transportation research part B …, 2008 - Elsevier
This paper proposes a novel traffic assignment model considering uncertainties in both
demand and supply sides of a road network. These uncertainties are mainly due to adverse …

Uncertainty quantification of sparse travel demand prediction with spatial-temporal graph neural networks

D Zhuang, S Wang, H Koutsopoulos… - Proceedings of the 28th …, 2022 - dl.acm.org
Origin-Destination (OD) travel demand prediction is a fundamental challenge in
transportation. Recently, spatial-temporal deep learning models demonstrate the …

[HTML][HTML] Challenges for public transportation: Consequences and possible alternatives for the Covid-19 pandemic through strategic digital city application

LAW Fumagalli, DA Rezende, TA Guimarães - Journal of Urban …, 2021 - Elsevier
Public transport was already one of the biggest issues for all municipalities where people
are highly concentrated at the same space at the same time. With COVID-19 pandemic and …

Hierarchical travel demand estimation using multiple data sources: A forward and backward propagation algorithmic framework on a layered computational graph

X Wu, J Guo, K Xian, X Zhou - Transportation Research Part C: Emerging …, 2018 - Elsevier
Aiming to develop a theoretically consistent framework to estimate travel demand using
multiple data sources, this paper first proposes a multi-layered Hierarchical Flow Network …

A novel single-parameter approach for forecasting algal blooms

X Xiao, J He, H Huang, TR Miller, G Christakos… - Water research, 2017 - Elsevier
Harmful algal blooms frequently occur globally, and forecasting could constitute an essential
proactive strategy for bloom control. To decrease the cost of aquatic environmental …

Space-time chlorophyll-a retrieval in optically complex waters that accounts for remote sensing and modeling uncertainties and improves remote estimation accuracy

J He, Y Chen, J Wu, DA Stow, G Christakos - Water research, 2020 - Elsevier
Remote sensing reflectance (Rrs) values measured by satellite sensors involve large
amounts of uncertainty leading to non-negligible noise in remote Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) …