Event-level prediction of urban crime reveals a signature of enforcement bias in US cities

V Rotaru, Y Huang, T Li, J Evans… - Nature human …, 2022 - nature.com
Policing efforts to thwart crime typically rely on criminal infraction reports, which implicitly
manifest a complex relationship between crime, policing and society. As a result, crime …

Identifying patterns of situational clustering and contextual variability in criminological data: An overview of conjunctive analysis of case configurations

TC Hart, CM Rennison… - Journal of contemporary …, 2017 - journals.sagepub.com
Conjunctive analysis of case configurations (CACC) is a recent innovative approach
developed by Miethe, Hart, and Regoeczi that bridges the gap between traditional …

Predictive policing and crime control in the United States of America and Europe: Trends in a decade of research and the future of predictive policing

I Mugari, EE Obioha - Social sciences, 2021 - mdpi.com
There has been a significant focus on predictive policing systems, as law enforcement
agents embrace modern technology to forecast criminal activity. Most developed nations …

Gang violence predictability: Using risk terrain modeling to study gang homicides and gang assaults in East Los Angeles

M Valasik - Journal of criminal justice, 2018 - Elsevier
Purpose The current study investigates the application of risk terrain modeling (RTM) to
forecast gang violence. RTM is routinely utilized to predict future criminal events in micro …

Risk terrain modeling and socio-economic stratification: Identifying risky places for violent crime victimization in Bogotá, Colombia

A Giménez-Santana, JM Caplan, G Drawve - European Journal on …, 2018 - Springer
This research focused on the effect of the built environment on Bogotá's violent crime by
using the Risk Terrain Modeling (RTM) technique. The current study used 17 ecological …

Forecasting homicide in the red stick: Risk terrain modeling and the spatial influence of urban blight on lethal violence in Baton Rouge, Louisiana

M Valasik, EE Brault, SM Martinez - Social Science Research, 2019 - Elsevier
Incorporating features of the built environment, risk terrain modeling (RTM), is used to
predict future criminal events in micro-units (ie, city blocks). The current study examines the …

Risk factor and high-risk place variations across different robbery targets in Denver, Colorado

NT Connealy, EL Piza - Journal of criminal justice, 2019 - Elsevier
Abstract Purpose Risk Terrain Modeling (RTM) has been effectively used to spatially
diagnose risk for crimes such as robbery, aggravated assault, and gun violence. An …

The criminogenic effect of marijuana dispensaries in Denver, Colorado: A microsynthetic control quasi-experiment and cost-benefit analysis

N Connealy, E Piza, D Hatten - Justice Evaluation Journal, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
The study analyzed the criminogenic effect of legalizing recreational marijuana dispensaries
in Denver. Street segments with recreational dispensaries experienced no changes in …

When crime moves where does it go? Analyzing the spatial correlates of robbery incidents displaced by a place-based policing intervention

D Hatten, EL Piza - Journal of research in crime and …, 2022 - journals.sagepub.com
Objective: Examine the place-based correlates of robbery activity displaced by a foot-patrol
intervention in Newark, NJ. We use constructs from Crime Pattern and Social …

Risk terrain modeling: Seasonality and predictive validity

J Szkola, EL Piza, G Drawve - Justice Quarterly, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
This study focuses on crimes involving firearms in Baltimore, Maryland to answer three
research questions concerning the effect of seasonality:(1) Do changes in the seasons affect …