Recent studies have shown the existence of two qualitatively distinct groups of people
based on how they judge the probability of a conditional statement. The present study was …

In Risk Analysis of Complex and Uncertain Systems acknowledged risk authority Tony Cox
shows all risk practitioners how Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) can be used to improve …

The appropriateness, or acceptability, of a conditional does not just 'go with'the
corresponding conditional probability. A condition of dependence is required as well (cf …

In this paper, two experiments are reported investigating the nature of the cognitive
representations underlying causal conditional reasoning performance. The predictions of …

Conditionals whose antecedent and consequent are not somehow internally connected tend
to strike us as odd. The received doctrine is that this felt oddness is to be explained …

In this study, we focus on the conditions which permit people to assert a conditional
statement of the form 'if p then q'with conversational relevance. In a broadly decision …

Humans have a unique ability to generate novel norms. Faced with the knowledge that there
are hungry children in Somalia, we easily and naturally infer that we ought to donate to …

Indicative and counterfactual conditionals are central to reasoning in general and causal
reasoning in particular. Normative theorists and psychologists have held a range of views on …

Recent studies indicate that indicative conditionals like “If people wear masks, the spread of
Covid-19 will be diminished” require a probabilistic dependency between their antecedents …

The questions discussed in this chapter do not concern some small technical points about
logic, but rather matters of profound importance for the way in which we should view and …