Forecasting electricity spot-prices using linear univariate time-series models

JC Cuaresma, J Hlouskova, S Kossmeier… - Applied Energy, 2004 - Elsevier
This paper studies the forecasting abilities of a battery of univariate models on hourly
electricity spot prices, using data from the Leipzig Power Exchange. The specifications …

[图书][B] Bayesian modeling of spatio-temporal data with R

S Sahu - 2022 - taylorfrancis.com
Applied sciences, both physical and social, such as atmospheric, biological, climate,
demographic, economic, ecological, environmental, oceanic and political, routinely gather …

The inclusion of exogenous variables in functional autoregressive ozone forecasting

J Damon, S Guillas - Environmetrics, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
In this article, we propose a new technique for ozone forecasting. The approach is
functional, that is we consider stochastic processes with values in function spaces. We make …

Estimation and simulation of autoregressive hilbertian processes with exogenous variables

J Damon, S Guillas - Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 2005 - Springer
We present the autoregressive Hilbertian with exogenous variables model (ARHX) which
intends to take into account the dependence structure of random curves viewed as H-valued …

Improving environmental sustainability by characterizing spatial and temporal concentrations of ozone

KJ Lee, H Kahng, SB Kim, SK Park - Sustainability, 2018 - mdpi.com
Statistical methods have been widely used to predict pollutant concentrations. However, few
efforts have been made to examine spatial and temporal characteristics of ozone in Korea …

Bayesian forecasting using spatiotemporal models with applications to ozone concentration levels in the Eastern United States

SK Sahu, K Shuvo Bakar… - Geometry Driven Statistics, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Forecasting air pollution in large spatial domains based on data from a sparse network of
monitoring sites is a challenging task. Forecasting based on hierarchical Bayesian methods …

Accounting seasonal nonstationarity in time series models for short-term ozone level forecast

SE Kim, A Kumar - Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk …, 2005 - Springer
Due to the nonlinear feature of a ozone process, regression based models such as the
autoregressive models with an exogenous vector process (ARX) suffer from persistent …

Testing for Serial Correlation in Autoregressive Exogenous Models with Possible GARCH Errors

H Li, X Liu, Y Chen, Y Fan - Entropy, 2022 - mdpi.com
Autoregressive exogenous, hereafter ARX, models are widely adopted in time series-related
domains as they can be regarded as the combination of an autoregressive process and a …

Tree-based threshold modeling for short-term forecast of daily maximum ozone level

SE Kim - Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk …, 2010 - Springer
This paper proposes a simple class of threshold autoregressive model for purpose of
forecasting daily maximum ozone concentrations in Southern California. Linear time series …

A GAM for daily ozone concentration in Seoul

JH Kim, J Hong - Key Engineering Materials, 2004 - Trans Tech Publ
This study focuses on ozone modeling using meteorological and air monitoring variables.
Twenty seven (27) places in Seoul were measured for ozone values from January 1999 to …