We are all faced with uncertainty about the future, but we can get the measure of some
uncertainties in terms of probabilities. Probabilities are notoriously difficult to communicate …

Since its inception in 1965, the theory of fuzzy sets has advanced in a variety of ways and in
many disciplines. Applications of this theory can be found, for example, in artificial …

Expert judgement informs a variety of important applications in conservation and natural
resource management, including threatened species management, environmental impact …

Risk perception refers to people's subjective judgments about the likelihood of negative
occurrences such as injury, illness, disease, and death. Risk perception is important in …

The elicitation of scientific and technical judgments from experts, in the form of subjective
probability distributions, can be a valuable addition to other forms of evidence in support of …

The May 2012 Sackler Colloquium on “The Science of Science Communication” brought
together scientists with research to communicate and scientists whose research could …

To predict choice behavior, the standard practice of economists has been to infer decision
processes from data on observed choices. When decision makers act with partial …

Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or
quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is …

Social psychologists have long recognized the possibility that attitudes might differ from one
another in terms of their strength, but only recently had the profound implications of this view …

The committee began with the information from the literature review, and each committee
member was asked to provide comments on the terms and the construction they preferred …