Developing, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions

L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Induced seismicity in geothermal reservoirs: A review of forecasting approaches

E Gaucher, M Schoenball, O Heidbach, A Zang… - … and Sustainable Energy …, 2015 - Elsevier
In order to reach Europe׳ s 2020 and 2050 targets in terms of greenhouse gas emissions,
geothermal resources will have to contribute substantially to meeting carbon-free energy …

Variations in earthquake-size distribution across different stress regimes

D Schorlemmer, S Wiemer, M Wyss - Nature, 2005 - nature.com
The earthquake size distribution follows, in most instances, a power law,, with the slope of
this power law, the 'b value', commonly used to describe the relative occurrence of large and …

Acoustic emissions document stress changes over many seismic cycles in stick‐slip experiments

TH W. Goebel, D Schorlemmer… - Geophysical …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
The statistics of large earthquakes commonly involve large uncertainties due to the lack of
long‐term, robust earthquake recordings. Small‐scale seismic events are abundant and can …

Statistical physics approach to earthquake occurrence and forecasting

L de Arcangelis, C Godano, JR Grasso, E Lippiello - Physics Reports, 2016 - Elsevier
There is striking evidence that the dynamics of the Earth crust is controlled by a wide variety
of mutually dependent mechanisms acting at different spatial and temporal scales. The …

Neural networks to predict earthquakes in Chile

J Reyes, A Morales-Esteban, F Martínez-Álvarez - Applied Soft Computing, 2013 - Elsevier
A new earthquake prediction system is presented in this work. This method, based on the
application of artificial neural networks, has been used to predict earthquakes in Chile, one …

Spatiotemporal variations in the b-value of earthquake magnitude–frequency distributions: Classification and causes

ZH El-Isa, DW Eaton - Tectonophysics, 2014 - Elsevier
Abstract Interpretation of the b-value of earthquake frequency–magnitude distributions has
received considerable attention in recent decades. This paper provides a comprehensive …

How to be fooled searching for significant variations of the b-value

W Marzocchi, I Spassiani, A Stallone… - Geophysical Journal …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
An unbiased estimation of the b-value and of its variability is essential to verify empirically its
physical contribution to the earthquake generation process, and the capability to improve …

Spatial and temporal stress drop variations in small earthquakes near Parkfield, California

BP Allmann, PM Shearer - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2007 - Wiley Online Library
We estimate source parameters from spectra of 42367 earthquakes between 1984 and 2005
that occurred in the Parkfield segment of the San Andreas Fault in central California. We use …

Microseismicity data forecast rupture area

D Schorlemmer, S Wiemer - Nature, 2005 - nature.com
On 28 September 2004 there was an earthquake of magnitude 6.0 at Parkfield, California.
Here we show that the size distribution of the micro-earthquakes recorded in the decades …