An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence

SC Sherwood, MJ Webb, JD Annan… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …

Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

A Hall, P Cox, C Huntingford, S Klein - Nature Climate Change, 2019 - nature.com
In recent years, an evaluation technique for Earth System Models (ESMs) has arisen—
emergent constraints (ECs)—which rely on strong statistical relationships between aspects …

Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3)

V Eyring, NP Gillett, KM Achuta Rao, R Barimalala… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …

Many risky feedback loops amplify the need for climate action

WJ Ripple, C Wolf, TM Lenton, JW Gregg, SM Natali… - One Earth, 2023 - cell.com
Many feedback loops significantly increase warming due to greenhouse gas emissions.
However, not all of these feedbacks are fully accounted for in climate models. Thus …

The convective‐to‐total precipitation ratio and the “drizzling” bias in climate models

D Chen, A Dai, A Hall - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Overestimation of precipitation frequency and duration while underestimating intensity, that
is, the “drizzling” bias, has been a long‐standing problem of global climate models. Here we …

Snow and climate: Feedbacks, drivers, and indices of change

CW Thackeray, C Derksen, CG Fletcher… - Current Climate Change …, 2019 - Springer
Abstract Purpose of Review Highlight significant developments that have recently been
made to enhance our understanding of how snow responds to climate forcing and the role …

ESM-SnowMIP: assessing snow models and quantifying snow-related climate feedbacks

G Krinner, C Derksen, R Essery… - Geoscientific Model …, 2018 - gmd.copernicus.org
This paper describes ESM-SnowMIP, an international coordinated modelling effort to
evaluate current snow schemes, including snow schemes that are included in Earth system …

The potential to reduce uncertainty in regional runoff projections from climate models

F Lehner, AW Wood, JA Vano, DM Lawrence… - Nature Climate …, 2019 - nature.com
Increasingly, climate change impact assessments rely directly on climate models.
Assessments of future water security depend in part on how the land model components in …

Emergent constraints on climate sensitivities

MS Williamson, CW Thackeray, PM Cox, A Hall… - Reviews of Modern …, 2021 - APS
Despite major advances in climate science over the last 30 years, persistent uncertainties in
projections of future climate change remain. Climate projections are produced with …

Reducing uncertainties in climate projections with emergent constraints: Concepts, examples and prospects

F Brient - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2020 - Springer
Abstract Models disagree on a significant number of responses to climate change, such as
climate feedback, regional changes, or the strength of equilibrium climate sensitivity …