Medium-term and long-term volatility forecasts for EUA futures with country-specific economic policy uncertainty indices

L Zhang, Q Luo, X Guo, M Umar - Resources Policy, 2022 - Elsevier
This research uses country-specific economic policy uncertainty (EPU) indices to predict the
volatility of European Union Allowance (EUA) futures and compares dimension reduction …

The role of green reputation, carbon trading and government intervention in determining the green bond pricing: An externality perspective

Y Hu, Y Tian - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2024 - Elsevier
Green bonds, due to their inherent externalities, pose challenges in achieving equilibrium
prices under optimal public resource allocation and social welfare without governmental …

Trader types and volatility of emission allowance prices. Evidence from EU ETS Phase I

AC Balietti - Energy Policy, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper studies the relation between the trading activity of market participants and the
volatility of the European Emission Allowance price during Phase I of the European Union …

Price and network dynamics in the European carbon market

A Karpf, A Mandel, S Battiston - Journal of Economic Behavior & …, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper presents an analysis of the European Emission Trading System as a transaction
network. It is shown that, given the lack of well-identified trading institutions, industrial actors …

Green bond pricing and optimization based on carbon emission trading and subsidies: from the perspective of externalities

Y Hu, Y Tian, L Zhang - Sustainability, 2023 - mdpi.com
In this paper, we establish a model based on real options theory and fractional Brownian
motion (FBM) with jumps to price green bonds, and thus alleviate the externalities of green …

International carbon financial market prediction using particle swarm optimization and support vector machine

J Chen, S Ma, Y Wu - Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized …, 2022 - Springer
Carbon financial futures have both the characteristics of commodity futures and
environmental protection and its price is affected by many factors. It is hard and complex for …

Jump processes in natural gas markets

CF Mason, NA Wilmot - Energy Economics, 2014 - Elsevier
Many analysts believe that natural gas will have an increasingly important role in the next
few decades. Accordingly, understanding the underpinnings of natural gas prices is likely to …

Estimation of Lévy-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck processes: application to modeling of and fuel-switching

J Chevallier, S Goutte - Annals of Operations Research, 2017 - Springer
This paper proposes an estimation methodology for Lévy-driven Ornstein–Uhlenbeck
processes. The estimation unfolds in two steps, with a least-squares method for a subset of …

On climate fat tails and politics

CF Mason, NA Wilmot - Resources Policy, 2024 - Elsevier
Transitioning the economy from one that relies on fossil fuels to one that emphasizes
renewable energy sources will have important implications for the pattern of natural …

A novel method of detecting carbon asset price jump characteristics based on significant information shocks

D Pan, C Zhang, D Zhu, Y Ji, W Cao - Finance Research Letters, 2022 - Elsevier
To identify the jump forms of carbon asset price under the shocks of significant information,
this paper focuses on two aspects: different jump directions and jump time points. Therefore …