A simple Bayesian state-space approach to the collective risk models

J Youn Ahn, H Jeong, Y Lu - Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
The collective risk model (CRM) for frequency and severity is an important tool for retail
insurance ratemaking, natural disaster forecasting, as well as operational risk in banking …

Compound Poisson–Lindley process with Sarmanov dependence structure and its application for premium-based spectral risk forecasting

K Syuhada, V Tjahjono, A Hakim - Applied Mathematics and Computation, 2024 - Elsevier
One of the fundamental challenges insurance companies face is forecasting a fair premium
that covers the cost of claims while maintaining profitability. To comprehend the risk of …

Risk management model for information security

JA Alarcon - DecisionTech Review, 2023 - dtr.pro-metrics.org
A risk management model makes it possible to explore the organizational factors and risk
management practices that affect or delay the achievement of the objectives that are …

Collective risk models with FGM dependence

C Blier-Wong, H Cossette… - Scandinavian Actuarial …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
We study copula-based collective risk models when the dependence structure is defined by
a Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula. By leveraging a one-to-one correspondence …

Spatiotemporal clustering of streamflow extremes and relevance to flood insurance claims: a stochastic investigation for the contiguous USA

K Papoulakos, T Iliopoulou, P Dimitriadis, D Tsaknias… - Natural Hazards, 2024 - Springer
Recent research highlights the importance of Hurst-Kolmogorov dynamics (else known as
long-range dependence), characterized by strong correlation and high uncertainty in large …

Understanding underwriter uncertainty in rugby league related concussion

CR Walker, AJ Bond, I Griffiths - Managing Sport and Leisure, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
ABSTRACT Purpose/Rationale The purpose of this exploratory paper is to critically explore
the liability underwriting landscape for insuring concussion risks in rugby league in the UK …

[HTML][HTML] Frequency-severity experience rating based on latent Markovian risk profiles

RM Verschuren - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2022 - Elsevier
Abstract Bonus-Malus Systems traditionally consider a customer's number of claims
irrespective of their sizes, even though these components are dependent in practice. We …

Approximation of Zero-Inflated Poisson Credibility Premium via Variational Bayes Approach

M Kim, H Jeong, D Dey - Risks, 2022 - mdpi.com
While both zero-inflation and the unobserved heterogeneity in risks are prevalent issues in
modeling insurance claim counts, determination of Bayesian credibility premium of the claim …

A Dynamic Credibility Model with Self-Excitation and Exponential Decay

H Jeong, B Zou - 2022 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC), 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
This paper proposes a dynamic credibility model for claim count that extends the benchmark
Poisson generalized linear models (GLM) by incorporating self-excitation and exponential …

A simple Bayesian state-space model for the collective risk model

JY Ahn, H Jeong, Y Lu - arXiv preprint arXiv:2110.09657, 2021 - arxiv.org
The collective risk model (CRM) for frequency and severity is an important tool for retail
insurance ratemaking, macro-level catastrophic risk forecasting, as well as operational risk …