Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information

JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti… - Climate change 2021 …, 2021 - cambridge.org
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

Observational needs for improving ocean and coupled reanalysis, S2S prediction, and decadal prediction

SG Penny, S Akella, MA Balmaseda… - Frontiers in Marine …, 2019 - frontiersin.org
Developments in observing system technologies and ocean data assimilation (DA) are
symbiotic. New observation types lead to new DA methods and new DA methods, such as …

Ocean kinetic energy backscatter parametrization on unstructured grids: Impact on global eddy‐permitting simulations

S Juricke, S Danilov, N Koldunov… - Journal of Advances …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
In this study we demonstrate the potential of a kinetic energy backscatter scheme for use in
global ocean simulations. Ocean models commonly employ (bi) harmonic eddy viscosities …

Ocean kinetic energy backscatter parametrizations on unstructured grids: Impact on mesoscale turbulence in a channel

S Juricke, S Danilov, A Kutsenko, M Oliver - Ocean Modelling, 2019 - Elsevier
We present a new energy backscatter parametrization for primitive equation ocean models
at eddy-permitting resolution, specifically for unstructured grids. Traditional eddy …

[HTML][HTML] Ensemble quantification of short-term predictability of the ocean dynamics at a kilometric-scale resolution: a Western Mediterranean test case

S Leroux, JM Brankart, A Albert, L Brodeau… - Ocean …, 2022 - os.copernicus.org
We investigate the predictability properties of the ocean dynamics using an ensemble of
short-term numerical regional ocean simulations forced by prescribed atmospheric …

A new stochastic ocean physics package and its application to hybrid‐covariance data assimilation

A Storto, P Andriopoulos - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Generating optimal perturbations is a key requirement of several data assimilation schemes.
Here, we present a newly developed stochastic physics package for ocean models …

Progress towards a probabilistic Earth system model: examining the impact of stochasticity in the atmosphere and land component of EC-Earth v3. 2

K Strommen, HM Christensen… - Geoscientific Model …, 2019 - gmd.copernicus.org
We introduce and study the impact of three stochastic schemes in the EC-Earth climate
model: two atmospheric schemes and one stochastic land scheme. These form the basis for …

Improved teleconnection between Arctic sea ice and the North Atlantic Oscillation through stochastic process representation

K Strommen, S Juricke, F Cooper - Weather and Climate …, 2022 - wcd.copernicus.org
The extent to which interannual variability in Arctic sea ice influences the mid-latitude
circulation has been extensively debated. While observational data support the existence of …

Diagnosing, modeling, and testing a multiplicative stochastic Gent-McWilliams parameterization

I Grooms, W Kleiber - Ocean Modelling, 2019 - Elsevier
A depth-independent isotropic Gent-McWilliams (GM) transport parameter κ is diagnosed
from an idealized eddy-resolving primitive equation simulation. The optimal depth …

Parameterizing the Impact of Unresolved Temperature Variability on the Large‐Scale Density Field: Part 1. Theory.

Z Stanley, I Grooms, W Kleiber… - Journal of Advances …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Unresolved temperature and salinity fluctuations interact with a nonlinear seawater equation
of state to produce significant errors in the ocean model evaluation of the large‐scale …