Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information

JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti… - Climate change 2021 …, 2021 - cambridge.org
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones: A review of where, when and why it occurs

HF Dacre, JG Pinto - NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2020 - nature.com
Serial clustering of extratropical cyclones describes the passage of multiple cyclones over a
fixed location within a given time period. Such periods often result in high precipitation totals …

A higher‐resolution version of the max planck institute earth system model (MPI‐ESM1. 2‐HR)

WA Müller, JH Jungclaus, T Mauritsen… - Journal of Advances …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The MPI‐ESM1. 2 is the latest version of the Max Planck Institute Earth System
Model and is the baseline for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and …

The decadal climate prediction project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6

GJ Boer, DM Smith, C Cassou… - Geoscientific Model …, 2016 - gmd.copernicus.org
The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) is a coordinated multi-model investigation
into decadal climate prediction, predictability, and variability. The DCPP makes use of past …

[HTML][HTML] MiKlip: A national research project on decadal climate prediction

J Marotzke, WA Müller, FSE Vamborg… - Bulletin of the …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
Andersson, A., M. Ziese, F. Dietzsch, M. Schröder, A. Becker, and K. Schamm, 2016a:
HOAPS/GPCC global daily precipitation data record with uncertainty estimates using …

Large-scale circulation patterns and their influence on European winter windstorm predictions

L Degenhardt, GC Leckebusch, AA Scaife - Climate Dynamics, 2023 - Springer
Severe winter windstorms are amongst the most damaging weather events for Europe and
show significant interannual variability. While surface variables (temperature, precipitation) …

Different long‐term trends of extra‐tropical cyclones and windstorms in ERA‐20C and NOAA‐20CR reanalyses

DJ Befort, S Wild, T Kruschke, U Ulbrich… - Atmospheric Science …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
NOAA 20th century and ERA‐20C reanalysis datasets are evaluated regarding the
representation of extra‐tropical cyclones and windstorms over the Northern and Southern …

A role of the Atlantic Ocean in predicting summer surface air temperature over North East Asia?

PA Monerie, J Robson, B Dong, N Dunstone - Climate Dynamics, 2018 - Springer
We assess the ability of the DePreSys3 prediction system to predict the summer (JJAS)
surface-air temperature over North East Asia. DePreSys3 is based on a high resolution …

The effects of bias, drift, and trends in calculating anomalies for evaluating skill of seasonal-to-decadal initialized climate predictions

GA Meehl, H Teng, D Smith, S Yeager, W Merryfield… - Climate Dynamics, 2022 - Springer
In initialized seasonal to decadal (S2D) predictions, model hindcasts rapidly drift away from
the initial observed state and converge toward a preferred state characterized by systematic …

Decadal hindcasts initialized using observed surface wind stress: Evaluation and prediction out to 2024

M Thoma, RJ Greatbatch, C Kadow… - Geophysical Research …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
We use surface air temperature to evaluate the decadal forecast skill of the fully coupled
Max Planck Institut Earth System Model (MPI‐ESM) initialized using only surface wind stress …