Tropospheric anthropogenic aerosols contribute the second-largest forcing to climate
change, but with high uncertainty owing to their spatio-temporal variability and complicated …

Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …

Observed surface temperature trends over recent decades are characterized by (a)
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …

Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …

BACKGROUND Tropical Pacific decadal climate variability and change (TPDV) affects the
global climate system, extreme weather events, agricultural production, streamflow, marine …

Between about 1998 and 2012, a time that coincided with political negotiations for
preventing climate change, the surface of Earth seemed hardly to warm. This phenomenon …

Negative emissions technologies (NETs) in general and bioenergy with CO2 capture and
storage (BECCS) in particular are commonly regarded as vital yet controversial to meeting …

We review the growing evidence for a widespread inconsistency between the low strength of
predictable signals in climate models and the relatively high level of agreement they exhibit …

Decadal climate prediction presumes there are decadal-timescale processes and
mechanisms that, if initialized properly in models, potentially provide predictive skill more …