The most at-risk regions in the world for high-impact heatwaves

V Thompson, D Mitchell, GC Hegerl, M Collins… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Heatwaves are becoming more frequent under climate change and can lead to thousands of
excess deaths. Adaptation to extreme weather events often occurs in response to an event …

Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations

E Bevacqua, L Suarez-Gutierrez, A Jézéquel… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Societally relevant weather impacts typically result from compound events, which are rare
combinations of weather and climate drivers. Focussing on four event types arising from …

Origin, importance, and predictive limits of internal climate variability

F Lehner, C Deser - Environmental Research: Climate, 2023 - iopscience.iop.org
Adaptation to climate change has now become a necessity for many regions. Yet, adaptation
planning at regional scales over the next few decades is challenging given the …

[HTML][HTML] Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain

WCH Chan, NW Arnell, G Darch, K Facer-Childs… - Journal of …, 2023 - Elsevier
The UK has experienced recurring hydrological droughts in the past and their frequency and
severity are predicted to increase with climate change. However, quantifying the risks of …

Connecting hydrological modelling and forecasting from global to local scales: perspectives from an international joint virtual workshop

A Dasgupta, L Arnal, R Emerton… - Journal of Flood Risk …, 2025 - Wiley Online Library
The unprecedented progress in ensemble hydro‐meteorological modelling and forecasting
on a range of temporal and spatial scales, raises a variety of new challenges which formed …

Climate model large ensembles as test beds for applied compound event research

F Lehner - iScience, 2024 - cell.com
Some of the most impactful climate and weather events result from compounding drivers. To
robustly assess the current and future risk from such compound events, a better …

Role of mean and variability change in changes in European annual and seasonal extreme precipitation events

RR Wood - Earth System Dynamics, 2023 - esd.copernicus.org
The frequency of precipitation extremes is set to change in response to a warming climate.
Thereby, the change in extreme precipitation event occurrence is influenced by both a shift …

[HTML][HTML] More than Magnitude: Towards a multidimensional understanding of unprecedented weather to better support disaster management

D Heinrich, E Stephens, EC de Perez - Water Security, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract The 1900 Galveston Texas Hurricane, the 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave, and
the 2023 Tropical Cyclone Freddy were all events that were unprecedented in diverse ways …

[HTML][HTML] A methodology to estimate Probable maximum precipitation (PMP) under climate change using a numerical weather model

Y Hiraga, R Tahara, J Meza - Journal of Hydrology, 2025 - Elsevier
This study proposes a novel dynamical model-based method to estimate Probable
Maximum Precipitation (PMP) under climate change. The proposed method fundamentally …

Assessing the impact of climate change on high return levels of peak flows in Bavaria applying the CRCM5 large ensemble

F Willkofer, RR Wood, R Ludwig - Hydrology and Earth System …, 2024 - hess.copernicus.org
Abstract​​​​​​​ Severe floods with extreme return periods of 100 years and beyond
have been observed in several large rivers in Bavaria in the last 3 decades. Flood protection …