What the numbers say: A digit-based test for election fraud

B Beber, A Scacco - Political analysis, 2012 - cambridge.org
Is it possible to detect manipulation by looking only at electoral returns? Drawing on work in
psychology, we exploit individuals' biases in generating numbers to highlight suspicious …

Benford's law and the detection of election fraud

J Deckert, M Myagkov, PC Ordeshook - Political Analysis, 2011 - cambridge.org
The proliferation of elections in even those states that are arguably anything but democratic
has given rise to a focused interest on developing methods for detecting fraud in the official …

Partisan losers' effects: Perceptions of electoral integrity in Mexico

F Cantú, O García-Ponce - Electoral Studies, 2015 - Elsevier
We examine the partisan, logistic, and contextual factors affecting citizens' perceptions of
electoral integrity. Drawing on original survey data collected at different stages of the 2012 …

Fraudulent democracy? An analysis of Argentina's Infamous Decade using supervised machine learning

F Cantú, SM Saiegh - Political Analysis, 2011 - cambridge.org
In this paper, we introduce an innovative method to diagnose electoral fraud using vote
counts. Specifically, we use synthetic data to develop and train a fraud detection prototype …

Election forensics: Using machine learning and synthetic data for possible election anomaly detection

M Zhang, RM Alvarez, I Levin - PloS one, 2019 - journals.plos.org
Assuring election integrity is essential for the legitimacy of elected representative democratic
government. Until recently, other than in-person election observation, there have been few …

Baseline comparative analysis and review of election forensics: Application to Ghana's 2012 and 2020 presidential elections

EF Agyemang, ENN Nortey, R Minkah, K Asah-Asante - Heliyon, 2023 - cell.com
Many allegations have been levelled against the electoral process of many countries across
the world by most opposition leaders, especially when they lose a presidential election (with …

Identifying irregularities in Mexican local elections

F Cantú - American Journal of Political Science, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
A generalized distrust in Mexican local elections raises the question of whether electoral
corruption has vanished or remains a prevalent practice in the country. To answer this …

Forensic analysis of Turkish elections in 2017–2018

P Klimek, R Jiménez, M Hidalgo, A Hinteregger… - PloS one, 2018 - journals.plos.org
With a majority of 'Yes' votes in the Constitutional Referendum of 2017, Turkey continued its
drift towards an autocracy. By the will of the Turkish people, this referendum transferred …

Forensic analysis of Venezuelan elections during the Chávez presidency

R Jiménez, M Hidalgo - PloS one, 2014 - journals.plos.org
Hugo Chávez dominated the Venezuelan electoral landscape since his first presidential
victory in 1998 until his death in 2013. Nobody doubts that he always received considerable …

Testing for voter rigging in small polling stations

R Jimenez, M Hidalgo, P Klimek - Science advances, 2017 - science.org
Nowadays, a large number of countries combine formal democratic institutions with
authoritarian practices. Although in these countries the ruling elites may receive …