Soft OR comes of age—but not everywhere!
J Mingers - Omega, 2011 - Elsevier
Over the last forty years, new methods and methodologies have been developed to deal
with wicked problems or “messes”. They are structured and rigorous but non-mathematical …
with wicked problems or “messes”. They are structured and rigorous but non-mathematical …
Probabilistic uncertainty specification: Overview, elaboration techniques and their application to a mechanistic model of carbon flux
A O'Hagan - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2012 - Elsevier
It is widely recognised that the appropriate representation for expert judgements of
uncertainty is as a probability distribution for the unknown quantity of interest. However …
uncertainty is as a probability distribution for the unknown quantity of interest. However …
[图书][B] The Bayesian choice: from decision-theoretic foundations to computational implementation
CP Robert - 2007 - Springer
This paperback edition, a reprint of the 2001 edition, is a graduate-level textbook that
introduces Bayesian statistics and decision theory. It covers both the basic ideas of statistical …
introduces Bayesian statistics and decision theory. It covers both the basic ideas of statistical …
[图书][B] Coping with risk in agriculture
JB Hardaker, RBM Huirne, JR Anderson, G Lien - 1997 - academia.edu
Most decision problems involve more than one uncertain quantity. he one-variable methods
of probability elicitation outlined above can be applied validly to several variables only if the …
of probability elicitation outlined above can be applied validly to several variables only if the …
[图书][B] Rethinking evidence: Exploratory essays
W Twining - 1994 - books.google.com
Evidence, proof and probabilities, rationality, skepticism and narrative in legal discourse,
and the reform of criminal evidence have all been the subject of lively debates in recent …
and the reform of criminal evidence have all been the subject of lively debates in recent …
[图书][B] Statistical analysis of reliability data
MJ Crowder - 2017 - taylorfrancis.com
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF RELIABILITY DATA Page 1 Page 2 STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF
RELIABILITY DATA Page 3 Page 4 CHAPMAN & HALL/CRC Texts in Statistical Science Series …
RELIABILITY DATA Page 3 Page 4 CHAPMAN & HALL/CRC Texts in Statistical Science Series …
[图书][B] Decision theory: Principles and approaches
G Parmigiani, L Inoue - 2009 - books.google.com
Decision theory provides a formal framework for making logical choices in the face of
uncertainty. Given a set of alternatives, a set of consequences, and a correspondence …
uncertainty. Given a set of alternatives, a set of consequences, and a correspondence …
[图书][B] Kendall's advanced theory of statistic 2B
A O'Hagan - 2010 - books.google.com
Kendall's Advanced Theory of Statistics and Kendall's Library of Statistics The development
of modern statistical theory in the past fifty years is reflected in the history of the late Sir …
of modern statistical theory in the past fifty years is reflected in the history of the late Sir …
Combining archaeological and radiocarbon information: a Bayesian approach to calibration
CE Buck, JB Kenworthy, CD Litton, AFM Smith - Antiquity, 1991 - cambridge.org
A recent and significant improvement in radiocarbon dating has been the increased ability of
the radiocarbon laboratories to provide results combining precision with accuracy. This …
the radiocarbon laboratories to provide results combining precision with accuracy. This …
An introduction to Bayesian inference for ecological research and environmental decision‐making
AM Ellison - Ecological applications, 1996 - Wiley Online Library
In our statistical practice, we ecologists work comfortably within the hypothetico‐deductive
epistemology of Popper and the frequentist statistical methodology of Fisher. Consequently …
epistemology of Popper and the frequentist statistical methodology of Fisher. Consequently …