[HTML][HTML] Hybrid scheme for Brownian semistationary processes

M Bennedsen, A Lunde, MS Pakkanen - Finance and Stochastics, 2017 - Springer
We introduce a simulation scheme for Brownian semistationary processes, which is based
on discretizing the stochastic integral representation of the process in the time domain. We …

[图书][B] Rough volatility

Since we will never really know why the prices of financial assets move, we should at least
make a faithful model of how they move. This was the motivation of Bachelier in 1900, when …

[图书][B] Ambit stochastics

OE Barndorff-Nielsen, FE Benth, AED Veraart - 2018 - Springer
Ambit Stochastics has emerged as a new field in probability theory during the last decade.
While there are still many open questions and challenges, we think that the time is right to …

Optimal stopping with signatures

C Bayer, PP Hager, S Riedel… - The Annals of Applied …, 2023 - projecteuclid.org
We propose a new method for solving optimal stopping problems (such as American option
pricing in finance) under minimal assumptions on the underlying stochastic process X. We …

Forecasting volatility in commodity markets with long-memory models

M Alfeus, CS Nikitopoulos - Journal of Commodity Markets, 2022 - Elsevier
Commodities are the most volatile markets, and forecasting their volatility is an issue of
paramount importance. We examine the dynamics of commodity markets volatility by …

A survey of electricity spot and futures price models for risk management applications

T Deschatre, O Féron, P Gruet - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
This review presents the set of electricity price models proposed in the literature since the
opening of power markets. We focus on price models applied to financial pricing and risk …

Forecasting the joint distribution of Australian electricity prices using dynamic vine copulae

H Manner, FA Fard, A Pourkhanali, L Tafakori - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
We consider the problem of modelling and forecasting the distribution of a vector of prices
from interconnected electricity markets using a flexible class of drawable vine copula …

[HTML][HTML] Factor models in the German electricity market: Stylized facts, seasonality, and calibration

WJ Hinderks, A Wagner - Energy Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
The class of arithmetic factor models is flexible enough to model all stylized facts occurring
in electricity markets, including negative prices, while still yielding tractable derivative prices …

Option pricing under fast-varying and rough stochastic volatility

J Garnier, K Sølna - Annals of Finance, 2018 - Springer
Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series
exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its …

[HTML][HTML] Electricity spot price modeling by multi-factor uncertain process: a case study from the Nordic region

I Noorani, F Mehrdoust, W Lio - Soft Computing, 2021 - Springer
In recent years, the liberalization of energy markets (especially electricity) by many countries
has led to much attention being paid to their modeling. The energy market modeling under …