Optimal inference in regression models with nearly integrated regressors

M Jansson, MJ Moreira - Econometrica, 2006 - Wiley Online Library
This paper considers the problem of conducting inference on the regression coefficient in a
bivariate regression model with a highly persistent regressor. Gaussian asymptotic power …

Inflation convergence and divergence within the European Monetary Union

F Busetti, L Forni, A Harvey, F Venditti - 2006 - papers.ssrn.com
We study the convergence properties of inflation rates among the countries of the European
Monetary Union over the period 1980-2004. Given the Maastricht agreements and the …

The asymptotic size and power of the augmented Dickey–Fuller test for a unit root

E Paparoditis, DN Politis - Econometric Reviews, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
It is shown that the limiting distribution of the augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) test under the
null hypothesis of a unit root is valid under a very general set of assumptions that goes far …

Testing for unit roots in time series models with non-stationary volatility

G Cavaliere, AMR Taylor - Journal of Econometrics, 2007 - Elsevier
Many of the key macro-economic and financial variables in developed economies are
characterized by permanent volatility shifts. It is known that conventional unit root tests are …

Modelling income processes with lots of heterogeneity

M Browning, M Ejrnaes, J Alvarez - The Review of Economic …, 2010 - academic.oup.com
We model earnings processes allowing for lots of heterogeneity across agents. We also
introduce an extension to the linear ARMA model which allows the initial convergence in the …

Priors for the long run

D Giannone, M Lenza, GE Primiceri - Journal of the American …, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
We propose a class of prior distributions that discipline the long-run behavior of vector
autoregressions (VARs). These priors can be naturally elicited using economic theory, which …

Unit root testing in practice: dealing with uncertainty over the trend and initial condition

DI Harvey, SJ Leybourne, AMR Taylor - Econometric theory, 2009 - cambridge.org
In this paper we focus on two major issues that surround testing for a unit root in practice,
namely,(i) uncertainty as to whether or not a linear deterministic trend is present in the data …

Testing for unit roots in bounded time series

G Cavaliere, F Xu - Journal of Econometrics, 2014 - Elsevier
Many key economic and financial series are bounded either by construction or through
policy controls. Conventional unit root tests are potentially unreliable in the presence of …

Hybrid and size‐corrected subsampling methods

DWK Andrews, P Guggenberger - Econometrica, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
This paper considers inference in a broad class of nonregular models. The models
considered are nonregular in the sense that standard test statistics have asymptotic …

Beyond the unit root question: uncertainty and inference

C Webb, S Linn, MJ Lebo - American Journal of Political …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
A fundamental challenge facing applied time‐series analysts is how to draw inferences
about long‐run relationships (LRR) when we are uncertain whether the data contain unit …