Modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility in time-frequency domain

J Barunik, T Krehlik, L Vacha - European Journal of Operational Research, 2016 - Elsevier
This paper proposes an enhanced approach to modeling and forecasting volatility using
high frequency data. Using a forecasting model based on Realized GARCH with multiple …

Realized semicovariances

T Bollerslev, J Li, AJ Patton, R Quaedvlieg - Econometrica, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a decomposition of the realized covariance matrix into components based on
the signs of the underlying high‐frequency returns, and we derive the asymptotic properties …

Intraday periodic volatility curves

TG Andersen, T Su, V Todorov… - Journal of the American …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
The volatility of financial asset returns displays pronounced variation over the trading day.
Our goal is nonparametric inference for the average intraday volatility pattern, viewed as a …

Is the diurnal pattern sufficient to explain intraday variation in volatility? A nonparametric assessment

K Christensen, U Hounyo, M Podolskij - Journal of Econometrics, 2018 - Elsevier
In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in
intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We …

Testing for coefficient distortion due to outliers with an application to the economic impacts of climate change

X Jiao, F Pretis, M Schwarz - Journal of Econometrics, 2024 - Elsevier
Outlying observations can bias regression estimates, requiring the use of outlier-robust
estimators. Comparing robust estimates to those obtained using ordinary least squares …

Do co-jumps impact correlations in currency markets?

J Barunik, L Vacha - Journal of Financial Markets, 2018 - Elsevier
We quantify how co-jumps impact correlations in currency markets. To disentangle the
continuous part of quadratic covariation from co-jumps, and study the influence of co-jumps …

Jump detection in high-frequency order prices

M Bibinger, N Hautsch, A Ristig - arXiv preprint arXiv:2403.00819, 2024 - arxiv.org
We propose methods to infer jumps of a semi-martingale, which describes long-term price
dynamics based on discrete, noisy, high-frequency observations. Different to the classical …

Jumps or staleness?

A Kolokolov, R Renò - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
Even moderate amounts of zero returns in financial data, associated with stale prices, are
heavily detrimental for reliable jump inference. We harness staleness-robust estimators to …

Bootstrapping integrated covariance matrix estimators in noisy jump–diffusion models with non-synchronous trading

U Hounyo - Journal of Econometrics, 2017 - Elsevier
We propose a bootstrap method for estimating the distribution (and functionals of it such as
the variance) of various integrated covariance matrix estimators. In particular, we first adapt …

Mixed-scale jump regressions with bootstrap inference

J Li, V Todorov, G Tauchen, R Chen - Journal of Econometrics, 2017 - Elsevier
We develop an efficient mixed-scale estimator for jump regressions using high-frequency
asset returns. A fine time scale is used to accurately identify the locations of large rare jumps …