This systematic literature review critically analyzes studies on the determinants of short selling and the implications for information distribution, real economic decisions, financial …
Motivated by recent investigations on the connections between geopolitical risk and crude oil prices, we implement a moving average strategy using the geopolitical risk index to …
A Goyal, I Welch, A Zafirov - The Review of Financial Studies, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Our paper reexamines whether 29 variables from 26 papers published after, as well as the original 17 variables, were useful in predicting the equity premium in-sample and out-of …
Y Zhang, F Ma, Y Wang - Journal of Empirical Finance, 2019 - Elsevier
In this paper, we use two prevailing shrinkage methods, the lasso and elastic net, to predict oil price returns with a large set of predictors. The out-of-sample results indicate that the …
J Liu, F Ma, Y Tang, Y Zhang - Energy Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
Motivated by the importance of geopolitical risk and its possible predictive power for oil volatility, this paper aims to quantitatively investigate the role of geopolitical risk (GPR) …
Y Zhang, MIM Wahab, Y Wang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper aims to improve the predictability of aggregate oil market volatility with a substantially large macroeconomic database, including 127 macro variables. To this end …
I Welch, A Goyal - The Review of Financial Studies, 2008 - academic.oup.com
Our article comprehensively reexamines the performance of variables that have been suggested by the academic literature to be good predictors of the equity premium. We find …
M He, Y Zhang, D Wen, Y Wang - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
In this paper, we employ a novel dimension reduction approach, the scaled principal component analysis (s-PCA), to improve the oil price predictability with technical indicators …
M He, Y Zhang - Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions …, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper uses a news-based climate policy uncertainty (CPU) proposed by Gavriilidis (2021) to test the stock return predictability of the oil industry. Results show that CPU is a …