The signaling effect of raising inflation

J Barthélemy, E Mengus - Journal of Economic Theory, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper argues that central bankers should temporarily raise inflation when anticipating
liquidity traps to ensure the credibility of otherwise time-inconsistent forward guidance …

Computing equilibria of dynamic games

Ş Yeltekin, Y Cai, KL Judd - Operations Research, 2017 - pubsonline.informs.org
We develop a numerical method for computing all pure strategy subgame-perfect
equilibrium values of dynamic strategic games with discrete states and actions. We define a …

Bounded memory and incomplete information

B Sperisen - Games and Economic Behavior, 2018 - Elsevier
This paper studies incomplete information games where players observe only a summary
statistic of the history, including reputation games as a special case. A recursive …

[PDF][PDF] Dynamic games in macroeconomics

Ł Balbus, K Reffett, Ł Wozny - Handbook of dynamic game theory, 2018 - kevin-reffett.com
In this chapter, we survey how the methods of dynamic and stochastic games have been
applied in macroeconomic research. In our discussion of methods for constructing dynamic …

Figuring out the Fed—beliefs about policymakers and gains from transparency

C Matthes - Journal of Money, credit and Banking, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
In this paper, I use a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm to estimate a model of private‐
sector behavior that does not feature private‐sector knowledge of the monetary …

Solving an infinite horizon adverse selection model through finite policy graphs

H Zhang - Operations research, 2012 - pubsonline.informs.org
This paper studies an infinite horizon adverse selection model with an underlying Markov
information process. It introduces a graphic representation of continuation contracts and …

Conditional Markov equilibria in discounted dynamic games

M Kitti - Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 2013 - Springer
This paper introduces conditional Markov strategies in discrete-time discounted dynamic
games with perfect monitoring. These are strategies in which players follow Markov policies …

[图书][B] Credibility Dynamics and Disinflation Plans

R Kostadinov, F Roldán - 2020 - books.google.com
We study the optimal design of a disinflation plan by a planner who lacks commitment.
Having announced a plan, the Central banker faces a tradeoff between surprise inflation …

[PDF][PDF] Reputation and the Credibility of Inflation Plans

R Kostadinov, F Roldán - Available at SSRN 4567776, 2024 - fqroldan.github.io
We study the optimal design of inflation targets by a planner who lacks commitment and
exerts imperfect control over inflation. The government's reputation for being committed …

[PDF][PDF] Competition in the Financial Advisory Market: Robo versus Traditional Advisors

A Berndt, S Yeltekin, H Yu - Australian National University, 2017 - philadelphiafed.org
We propose first a static and then a dynamic infinite-horizon model of the financial advisory
market and show how to compute equilibrium solutions. Unregulated, market features are …