Visualizing uncertainty about the future

D Spiegelhalter, M Pearson, I Short - science, 2011 - science.org
We are all faced with uncertainty about the future, but we can get the measure of some
uncertainties in terms of probabilities. Probabilities are notoriously difficult to communicate …

Risk and uncertainty communication

D Spiegelhalter - Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 2017 - annualreviews.org
This review briefly examines the vast range of techniques used to communicate risk
assessments arising from statistical analysis. After discussing essential psychological and …

[图书][B] Handbook of disaster research

H Rodríguez, EL Quarantelli, RR Dynes… - 2007 - Springer
Each of these Handbooks survey the field in a critical manner, evaluating theoretical models
in light of the best available empirical evidence. Distinctively sociological approaches are …

A review of operational, regional-scale, chemical weather forecasting models in Europe

J Kukkonen, T Olsson, DM Schultz… - Atmospheric …, 2012 - acp.copernicus.org
Numerical models that combine weather forecasting and atmospheric chemistry are here
referred to as chemical weather forecasting models. Eighteen operational chemical weather …

Fielding climate change in cultural anthropology

C Roncoli, T Crane, B Orlove - Anthropology and climate change, 2016 - taylorfrancis.com
Global environmental change is more extreme than at any other time in recorded history. Its
local realities increasingly uproot large numbers of people. Global climate change is …

[HTML][HTML] Communicating uncertainty in weather forecasts: A survey of the US public

RE Morss, JL Demuth, JK Lazo - Weather and forecasting, 2008 - journals.ametsoc.org
Communicating Uncertainty in Weather Forecasts: A Survey of the US Public in: Weather and
Forecasting Volume 23 Issue 5 (2008) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation Logo Logo …

Communicating imminent risk

MK Lindell - Handbook of disaster research, 2018 - Springer
Warning research has identified people's major information sources as environmental cues,
social cues, and social warnings from authorities, news media, and peers. Social sources …

[HTML][HTML] Understanding public hurricane evacuation decisions and responses to forecast and warning messages

RE Morss, JL Demuth, JK Lazo… - Weather and …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
Understanding Public Hurricane Evacuation Decisions and Responses to Forecast and
Warning Messages in: Weather and Forecasting Volume 31 Issue 2 (2016) Jump to Content …

Non-expert interpretations of hurricane forecast uncertainty visualizations

IT Ruginski, AP Boone, LM Padilla, L Liu… - Spatial Cognition & …, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
Uncertainty represented in visualizations is often ignored or misunderstood by the non-
expert user. The National Hurricane Center displays hurricane forecasts using a track …

[HTML][HTML] Communicating model uncertainty for natural hazards: A qualitative systematic thematic review

EEH Doyle, DM Johnston, R Smith, D Paton - International journal of …, 2019 - Elsevier
Natural hazard models are vital for all phases of risk assessment and disaster management.
However, the high number of uncertainties inherent to these models is highly challenging for …