Vulnerability to forest loss through altered postfire recovery dynamics in a warming climate in the Klamath Mountains

AJ Tepley, JR Thompson, HE Epstein… - Global Change …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
In the context of ongoing climatic warming, certain landscapes could be near a tipping point
where relatively small changes to their fire regimes or their postfire forest recovery dynamics …

Limits to reproduction and seed size-number trade-offs that shape forest dominance and future recovery

T Qiu, R Andrus, MC Aravena, D Ascoli… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
The relationships that control seed production in trees are fundamental to understanding the
evolution of forest species and their capacity to recover from increasing losses to drought …

Big data for forecasting the impacts of global change on plant communities

J Franklin, JM Serra‐Diaz, AD Syphard… - Global Ecology and …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Plant distributions and vegetation dynamics underpin key global phenomena, including
biogeochemical cycling, ecosystem productivity and terrestrial biodiversity patterns …

Disequilibrium of fire-prone forests sets the stage for a rapid decline in conifer dominance during the 21st century

JM Serra-Diaz, C Maxwell, MS Lucash, RM Scheller… - Scientific Reports, 2018 - nature.com
The impacts of climatic changes on forests may appear gradually on time scales of years to
centuries due to the long generation times of trees. Consequently, current forest extent may …

Year effects: Interannual variation as a driver of community assembly dynamics

CM Werner, KL Stuble, AM Groves, TP Young - Ecology, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Environmental conditions that vary from year to year can be strong drivers of ecological
dynamics, including the composition of newly assembled communities. However, ecologists …

Uncertainty in consensus predictions of plant species' vulnerability to climate change

MB Rose, SJE Velazco, HM Regan… - Diversity and …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Variation in spatial predictions of species' ranges made by various models has been
recognized as a significant source of uncertainty for modelling species distributions …

Intensifying postfire weather and biological invasion drive species loss in a Mediterranean-type biodiversity hotspot

JA Slingsby, C Merow… - Proceedings of the …, 2017 - National Acad Sciences
Prolonged periods of extreme heat or drought in the first year after fire affect the resilience
and diversity of fire-dependent ecosystems by inhibiting seed germination or increasing …

A new system to classify global climate zones based on plant physiology and using high temporal resolution climate data

AS Gardner, IMD Maclean… - Journal of Biogeography, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Aim Climate classification systems (CCSs) can be used to predict how species'
distributions might be altered by climate change and to increase the reliability of these …

Accounting for inter‐annual variability alters long‐term estimates of climate suitability

AS Gardner, KJ Gaston… - Journal of Biogeography, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Species respond to environmental conditions and so reliable assessments of climate
suitability are important for predicting how climate change could alter their distributions …

Multi‐scale integration of tree recruitment and range dynamics in a changing climate

PE Copenhaver‐Parry, CJW Carroll… - Global Ecology and …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Aim The rate and magnitude of climate‐induced tree range shifts may be influenced by
range‐wide variation in recruitment, which acts as a bottleneck in tree range dynamics …