Expert performance across a range of domains is underpinned by superior perceptual-
cognitive skills. Over the last five decades, researchers have provided evidence that experts …

Rationalization occurs when a person has performed an action and then concocts the
beliefs and desires that would have made it rational. Then, people often adjust their own …

Prospect Theory: For Risk and Ambiguity, provides a comprehensive and accessible
textbook treatment of the way decisions are made both when we have the statistical …

Many everyday decisions have to be made under risk and can be interpreted as choices
between gambles with different outcomes that are realized with specific probabilities. The …

The ability to anticipate the actions of opponents is a significant marker of expertise in many
sports. The role of non-kinematic contextual information in anticipation has received …

The paper addresses an issue largely discussed in the field of Forecasting and in many
future-oriented scientific and professional disciplines, but less frequently considered in the …

Delphi is an established information gathering and forecasting approach that has proven to
deliver valuable results in a wide variety of specialist fields. Yet, Delphi studies have also …

We claim that intuition is capable of quickly processing multiple pieces of information without
noticeable cognitive effort. We advocate a component view stating that intuitive processes in …

There is broad consensus that human cognition is adaptive. However, the vital question of
how exactly this adaptivity is achieved has remained largely open. Herein, we contrast two …

Rationally, people should want to receive information that is costless and relevant for a
decision. But people sometimes choose to remain ignorant. The current paper identifies …