A network-based stochastic epidemic simulator: Controlling covid-19 with region-specific policies
In this work, we present an open-source stochastic epidemic simulator calibrated with extant
epidemic experience of COVID-19. The simulator models a country as a network …
epidemic experience of COVID-19. The simulator models a country as a network …
[HTML][HTML] Real-time epidemiology and acute care need monitoring and forecasting for covid-19 via Bayesian sequential Monte Carlo-leveraged transmission models
COVID-19 transmission models have conferred great value in informing public health
understanding, planning, and response. However, the pandemic also demonstrated the …
understanding, planning, and response. However, the pandemic also demonstrated the …
An enhanced SEIR model for prediction of COVID-19 with vaccination effect
Currently, the spread of COVID-19 is running at a constant pace. The current situation is not
so alarming, but every pandemic has a history of three waves. Two waves have been seen …
so alarming, but every pandemic has a history of three waves. Two waves have been seen …
Asymptotic extinction and persistence of a perturbed epidemic model with different intervention measures and standard lévy jumps
Y Sabbar - Bulletin of Biomathematics, 2023 - bulletinbiomath.org
Controlling an outbreak through response measures is critical to saving lives and protecting
vulnerable populations. This article proposes an epidemic model with three intervention …
vulnerable populations. This article proposes an epidemic model with three intervention …
Mathematical Modeling and Short-Term Forecasting of the COVID-19 Epidemic in Bulgaria: SEIRS Model with Vaccination
Data from the World Health Organization indicate that Bulgaria has the second-highest
COVID-19 mortality rate in the world and the lowest vaccination rate in the European Union …
COVID-19 mortality rate in the world and the lowest vaccination rate in the European Union …
[HTML][HTML] A spatial model with vaccinations for COVID-19 in South Africa
C Dresselhaus, I Fabris-Rotelli, R Manjoo-Docrat… - Spatial Statistics, 2023 - Elsevier
Since the emergence of the novel COVID-19 virus pandemic in December 2019, numerous
mathematical models were published to assess the transmission dynamics of the disease …
mathematical models were published to assess the transmission dynamics of the disease …
Sound decision making in uncertain times: can systems modelling be useful for informing policy and planning for suicide prevention?
JA Occhipinti, D Rose, A Skinner, D Rock… - International journal of …, 2022 - mdpi.com
The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated the significant value of systems modelling in
supporting proactive and effective public health decision making despite the complexities …
supporting proactive and effective public health decision making despite the complexities …
The science of complex systems is needed to ameliorate the impacts of COVID-19 on mental health
JA Atkinson, YJC Song, KR Merikangas… - Frontiers in …, 2020 - frontiersin.org
To assist with proactive and effective responses to the global COVID-19 crisis, the scientific
community has been rapidly deploying our most advanced analytic tools to model the …
community has been rapidly deploying our most advanced analytic tools to model the …
Applying particle filtering in both aggregated and age-structured population compartmental models of pre-vaccination measles
Measles is a highly transmissible disease and is one of the leading causes of death among
young children under 5 globally. While the use of ongoing surveillance data and—recently …
young children under 5 globally. While the use of ongoing surveillance data and—recently …
Advanced and comprehensive research on the dynamics of COVID-19 under mass communication outlets intervention and quarantine strategy: a deterministic and …
The ongoing Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a major crisis that has significantly
affected the healthcare sector and global economies, which made it the main subject of …
affected the healthcare sector and global economies, which made it the main subject of …