In recent publications we have drawn attention to the fact that if the dynamics of a model is
structurally unstable, then the presence of structural model error places in-principle limits on …

Our aim here is to present a result that connects some approaches to justifying countable
additivity. This result allows us to better understand the force of a recent argument for …

Bayesian agents, argues Belot, are orgulous: they believe in inductive success even when
guaranteed to fail on a topologically typical collection of data streams. Here we shed light on …

A familiar defense of Personalist or Subjective Bayesian theory is that, under a variety of
sufficient conditions, asymptotically—with increasing shared evidence—almost surely, each …

Edenic Orgulity Page 1 Edenic Orgulity Gordon Belot I. In the Garden 1. Suppose that we are
enjoying the Garden of Eden one day when The Gardener happens by and makes the …

Must probabilities be countably additive? On the one hand, arguably, requiring countable
additivity is too restrictive. As de Finetti pointed out, there are situations in which it is …