Applications of large deviation theory in geophysical fluid dynamics and climate science

VM Gálfi, V Lucarini, F Ragone, J Wouters - La Rivista del Nuovo Cimento, 2021 - Springer
The climate is a complex, chaotic system with many degrees of freedom. Attaining a deeper
level of understanding of climate dynamics is an urgent scientific challenge, given the …

Projected US drought extremes through the twenty-first century with vapor pressure deficit

BL Gamelin, J Feinstein, J Wang, J Bessac, E Yan… - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
Global warming is expected to enhance drought extremes in the United States throughout
the twenty-first century. Projecting these changes can be complex in regions with large …

Very rare heat extremes: quantifying and understanding using ensemble reinitialization

C Gessner, EM Fischer, U Beyerle… - Journal of Climate, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Heat waves such as the one in Europe 2003 have severe consequences for the economy,
society, and ecosystems. It is unclear whether temperatures could have exceeded these …

Influence of threshold selection in modeling peaks over threshold based nonstationary extreme rainfall series

V Agilan, NV Umamahesh, PP Mujumdar - Journal of Hydrology, 2021 - Elsevier
Recent studies report that the extreme rainfall characteristics in most parts of the globe
exhibit temporal non-stationarity. Therefore, modeling the nonstationary behavior of extreme …

Estimating changes in temperature extremes from millennial-scale climate simulations using generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions

WK Huang, ML Stein, DJ McInerney… - Advances in …, 2016 - ascmo.copernicus.org
Changes in extreme weather may produce some of the largest societal impacts of
anthropogenic climate change. However, it is intrinsically difficult to estimate changes in …

Fast parameter estimation of generalized extreme value distribution using neural networks

S Rai, A Hoffman, S Lahiri, DW Nychka… - …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
The heavy‐tailed behavior of the generalized extreme‐value distribution makes it a popular
choice for modeling extreme events such as floods, droughts, heatwaves, wildfires and so …

Evaluations of high-resolution dynamically downscaled ensembles over the contiguous United States

Z Zobel, J Wang, DJ Wuebbles, VR Kotamarthi - Climate Dynamics, 2018 - Springer
Abstract This study uses Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model to evaluate the
performance of six dynamical downscaled decadal historical simulations with 12-km …

Change in the heatwave statistical characteristics over China during the climate warming slowdown

X Li, G Ren, S Wang, Q You, Y Sun, Y Ma, D Wang… - Atmospheric …, 2021 - Elsevier
Heatwaves are multi-day periods of extremely high-temperature weather relative to a
region's average conditions and are among the deadliest natural disasters. This study was …

GEV Analysis of Extreme Rainfall: Comparing Different Time Intervals to Analyse Model Response in Terms of Return Levels in the Study Area of Central Italy

M Gentilucci, A Rossi, N Pelagagge, D Aringoli… - Sustainability, 2023 - mdpi.com
The extreme rainfall events of recent years in central Italy are producing an increase in
hydrogeological risk, with disastrous flooding in terms of human lives and economic losses …

Historical and projected changes in temperature extremes over China and the inconsistency between multimodel ensembles and individual models from CMIP5 and …

Y Yang, Y Zhang, Z Gao, Z Pan… - Earth and Space …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Historical changes and possible future projections of temperature extremes in China, in
terms of return values of annual extreme temperatures, are examined based on daily …