Understanding heavy tails of flood peak distributions

B Merz, S Basso, S Fischer, D Lun… - Water Resources …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Statistical distributions of flood peak discharge often show heavy tail behavior, that is,
extreme floods are more likely to occur than would be predicted by commonly used …

Rarest rainfall events will see the greatest relative increase in magnitude under future climate change

GJ Gründemann, N van de Giesen, L Brunner… - … Earth & Environment, 2022 - nature.com
Future rainfall extremes are projected to increase with global warming according to theory
and climate models, but common (annual) and rare (decennial or centennial) extremes …

A unified framework for extreme subdaily precipitation frequency analyses based on ordinary events

F Marra, M Borga, E Morin - Geophysical Research Letters, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The metastatistical extreme value approach proved promising in the frequency analysis of
daily precipitation from ordinary events, outperforming traditional methods based on …

[HTML][HTML] Coastal and orographic effects on extreme precipitation revealed by weather radar observations

F Marra, M Armon, E Morin - Hydrology and Earth System …, 2022 - hess.copernicus.org
The yearly exceedance probability of extreme precipitation of multiple durations is crucial for
infrastructure design, risk management, and policymaking. Local extremes emerge from the …

Hydrological frequency analysis under nonstationarity using the Metastatistical approach and its simplified version

CT Vidrio-Sahagún, J He - Advances in Water Resources, 2022 - Elsevier
The implementation of nonstationary hydrological frequency analysis (NS-HFA) has often
been hampered by the relatively short datasets and the resulting high uncertainty. Most …

Estimation of daily rainfall extremes through the metastatistical extreme value distribution: Uncertainty minimization and implications for trend detection

A Miniussi, M Marani - Water Resources Research, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The accurate estimation of hydrologic extremes is central to planning and engineering
mitigation and adaptation measures. The traditional extreme value theory is based on often …

Regionally high risk increase for precipitation extreme events under global warming

C Martinez-Villalobos, JD Neelin - Scientific Reports, 2023 - nature.com
Daily precipitation extremes are projected to intensify with increasing moisture under global
warming following the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) relationship at about 7%/∘ C. However, this …

Analyses through the metastatistical extreme value distribution identify contributions of tropical cyclones to rainfall extremes in the eastern United States

A Miniussi, G Villarini, M Marani - Geophysical Research …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Tropical cyclones (TCs) generate extreme precipitation with severe impacts across large
coastal and inland areas, calling for accurate frequency estimation methods. Statistical …

All in order: Distribution of serially correlated order statistics with applications to hydrological extremes

F Serinaldi, F Lombardo, CG Kilsby - Advances in Water Resources, 2020 - Elsevier
Classic extreme value theory provides asymptotic distributions of block maxima (BM) Y or
peaks over threshold (POT). However, as BM and POT are relatively small subsets of the …

Comparing activation functions in modeling shoreline variation using multilayer perceptron neural network

JC Chen, YM Wang - Water, 2020 - mdpi.com
The study has modeled shoreline changes by using a multilayer perceptron (MLP) neural
network with the data collected from five beaches in southern Taiwan. The data included …