The housing boom and bust: Model meets evidence

G Kaplan, K Mitman… - Journal of Political …, 2020 - journals.uchicago.edu
We build a model of the US economy with multiple aggregate shocks that generate
fluctuations in equilibrium house prices. Through counterfactual experiments, we study the …

Finance and business cycles: The credit-driven household demand channel

A Mian, A Sufi - Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2018 - aeaweb.org
What is the role of the financial sector in explaining business cycles? This question is as old
as the field of macroeconomics, and an extensive body of research conducted since the …

Microeconomic heterogeneity and macroeconomic shocks

G Kaplan, GL Violante - Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2018 - aeaweb.org
In this essay, we discuss the emerging literature in macroeconomics that combines
heterogeneous agent models, nominal rigidities, and aggregate shocks. This literature …

Credit supply and the housing boom

A Justiniano, GE Primiceri… - Journal of Political …, 2019 - journals.uchicago.edu
An increase in credit supply driven by looser lending constraints in the mortgage market is
the key force behind four empirical features of the housing boom before the Great …

Who bears the cost of recessions? The role of house prices and household debt

A Mian, A Sufi - Handbook of Macroeconomics, 2016 - Elsevier
This chapter reviews empirical estimates of differential income and consumption growth
across individuals during recessions. Most existing studies examine the variation in income …

Do credit conditions move house prices?

DL Greenwald, A Guren - 2021 - nber.org
To what extent did an expansion and contraction of credit drive the 2000s housing boom
and bust? The existing literature lacks consensus, with findings ranging from credit having …

Household debt revaluation and the real economy: Evidence from a foreign currency debt crisis

E Verner, G Gyöngyösi - American Economic Review, 2020 - aeaweb.org
We examine the consequences of a sudden increase in household debt burdens by
exploiting variation in exposure to household foreign currency debt during Hungary's late …

A macroeconomic model of price swings in the housing market

C Garriga, R Manuelli, A Peralta-Alva - American Economic Review, 2019 - aeaweb.org
This paper shows that a macro model with segmented financial markets can generate
sizable movements in housing prices in response to changes in credit conditions. We …

Dissecting saving dynamics: measuring wealth, precautionary, and credit effects

CD Carroll, J Slacalek, M Sommer - 2019 - nber.org
We show that an estimated tractable 'buffer stock saving'model can match the 30-year
decline in the US saving rate leading up to 2007, the sharp increase during the Great …

Housing and credit markets: booms and busts

V Guerrieri, H Uhlig - Handbook of Macroeconomics, 2016 - Elsevier
Prompted by the recent US experience, in this chapter, we study the interaction between
cycles in credit markets and cycles in housing markets. There is a large growing literature …