Hydrologic Extremes in a Changing Climate: a Review of Extremes in East Africa

MT Taye, E Dyer - Current Climate Change Reports, 2024 - Springer
Abstract Purpose Eastern Africa has a complex hydroclimate and socio-economic context,
making it vulnerable to climate change-induced hydrological extremes. This review presents …

[HTML][HTML] A seven-parameter Bernoulli-Gamma-Gaussian model to calibrate subseasonal to seasonal precipitation forecasts

Z Huang, T Zhao, W Xu, H Cai, J Wang, Y Zhang… - Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) precipitation forecasts can fill the gap between weather and
seasonal forecasts. While raw forecasts from S2S models are informative, calibration is …

Advances, gaps and way forward in provision of climate services over the Greater Horn of Africa

M Gudoshava, G Otieno, E Koech, H Misiani… - Frontiers in …, 2024 - frontiersin.org
The Greater Horn of Africa is prone to extreme climatic conditions, thus, making climate
services increasingly important in supporting decision-making processes across a range of …

[HTML][HTML] Application of real time S2S forecasts over Eastern Africa in the co-production of climate services

M Gudoshava, M Wanzala, E Thompson, J Mwesigwa… - Climate Services, 2022 - Elsevier
A significant proportion of the population in Sub-Saharan Africa are vulnerable to extreme
climatic conditions, hence there is a high demand for climate information. In response to this …

Sources of predictability of synoptic‐scale rainfall during the West African summer monsoon

A Rasheeda Satheesh, P Knippertz… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Numerical‐model‐based forecasts of precipitation exhibit poor skill over northern tropical
Africa when compared with climatology‐based forecasts and with other tropical regions …

[HTML][HTML] The African SWIFT project: growing science capability to bring about a revolution in weather prediction

DJ Parker, AM Blyth, SJ Woolnough… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Africa is poised for a revolution in the quality and relevance of weather predictions, with
potential for great benefits in terms of human and economic security. This revolution will be …

[HTML][HTML] Strengthening weather forecast and dissemination capabilities in Central Africa: Case assessment of intense flooding in January 2020

IM Pascal, TK Jores, J Talib, VD Appolinaire, L Hirons… - Climate Services, 2023 - Elsevier
The first dekad of January 2020 was characterised by heavy precipitation in the capital of the
Republic of Congo, Brazzaville, which led to several localised landslides. Satellite-derived …

Evaluation of the skill of monthly precipitation forecasts from global prediction systems over the greater horn of Africa

HS Endris, L Hirons, ZT Segele… - Weather and …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
The skill of precipitation forecasts from global prediction systems has a strong regional and
seasonal dependence. Quantifying the skill of models for different regions and time scales is …

Surface‐driven amplification of Madden–Julian oscillation circulation anomalies across East Africa and its influence on the Turkana jet

J Talib, CM Taylor, BL Harris… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
In semi‐arid environments, rainfall‐driven soil moisture fluctuations exert a strong influence
on surface turbulent fluxes. Intraseasonal rainfall variability can therefore impact low‐level …

Importance of Madden–Julian oscillation phase to the interannual variability of East African rainfall

B Maybee, N Ward, LC Hirons… - Atmospheric Science …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Precipitation across East Africa shows marked interannual variability. Seasonal
forecast skill for the OND short rains is significantly higher than for the MAM long rains …