Using a panel of 17 Latin American countries for the period 2002–18, we study the impact of
economic variables on government approval. Our empirical analysis shows that the one …

Studying the question of whether macroeconomic predictors play a role in forecasting stock-
market volatility has a long and significant tradition in the empirical finance literature. We …

Until recently, presidential job approval has been positively correlated with a healthy
economy. Despite pre‐COVID‐19 sanguine macroeconomic indicators, President Donald …

We seek to determine whether a United States President's job approval rating is influenced
by the Misery Index. This hypothesis is examined in two ways. First, we employ a nonlinear …

In this paper we analyze whether presidential approval ratings can predict the S&P 500
returns over the monthly period of July 1941 to April 2018, using a dynamic conditional …

Hoşnutsuzluk endeksi; enflasyon oranı ve işsizlik oranının toplamından türetilmektedir. Bu
parametrede bir artış meydana gelmesi, insanların ekonomik koşullarının kötüye gittiğini ve …

US presidential approval is a topic that has long attracted the interest of political pundits,
journalists, candidates, and academics. This study focuses on quarterly US presidential …

This paper examines the time-varying causality between presidential approval ratings and
stock market performance, as measured by stock returns and realised volatility, in Latin …

In the wake of a massive thrust on designing policies to tackle climate change, we study the
role of climate policy uncertainty in impacting the presidential approval ratings of the United …

Using high‐frequency identification, I show that the Federal Reserve significantly influences
its political environment. A 50‐bp exogenous contractionary monetary shock is associated …