The actions of autonomous vehicle manufacturers and related industrial partners, as well as
the interest from policy makers and researchers, point towards the likely initial deployment of …

There is increasing interest in long-term plans that can adapt to changing situations under
conditions of deep uncertainty. We argue that a sustainable plan should not only achieve …

Uncertainty of outcome is widely recognised as a concern facing decision-makers and their
advisors. In a number of spheres of policy, it appears uncertainty has intensified in the face …

The notion of uncertainty has taken different meanings and emphases in various fields,
including the physical sciences, engineering, statistics, economics, finance, insurance …

Transportation systems are complex sociotechnical systems and this dual nature is reflected
in the literature dealing with their planning, ie defining courses of action from both public and …

There are many articles discussing time and cost overruns in mega projects. This research,
however, looks at a case that was successful in managing these aspects: a metro extension …

To ensure long-term competitiveness, companies need to develop the ability to explore,
plan, and develop new business fields. A suitable approach faces multiple challenges …

In a broad sense, uncertainty can be simply defined as missing knowledge; ie, the absence
of information. With respect to policymaking, uncertainty refers to the gap between available …

How can risk analysts help to improve policy and decision making when the correct
probabilistic relation between alternative acts and their probable consequences is …

At its core, this book presents a detailed step-by-step account of the “intuitive logics” method
of scenario thinking. Linked to this core, we detail a range of methodological innovations …