Ensemble Kalman methods: a mean field perspective

E Calvello, S Reich, AM Stuart - arXiv preprint arXiv:2209.11371, 2022 - arxiv.org
This paper provides a unifying mean field based framework for the derivation and analysis of
ensemble Kalman methods. Both state estimation and parameter estimation problems are …

Stein transport for Bayesian inference

N Nüsken - arXiv preprint arXiv:2409.01464, 2024 - arxiv.org
We introduce $\textit {Stein transport} $, a novel methodology for Bayesian inference
designed to efficiently push an ensemble of particles along a predefined curve of tempered …

McKean--Vlasov SDEs in nonlinear filtering

S Pathiraja, S Reich, W Stannat - SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization, 2021 - SIAM
Various particle filters have been proposed over the last couple of decades with the common
feature that the update step is governed by a type of control law. This feature makes them an …

Variational principles on geometric rough paths and the Lévy area correction

T Diamantakis, DD Holm, GA Pavliotis - SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical …, 2023 - SIAM
In this paper, we describe two effects of the Lévy area correction on the invariant measure of
stochastic rigid body dynamics on geometric rough paths. From the viewpoint of dynamics …

Measure transport with kernel mean embeddings

L Wang, N Nüsken - arXiv preprint arXiv:2401.12967, 2024 - arxiv.org
Kalman filters constitute a scalable and robust methodology for approximate Bayesian
inference, matching first and second order moments of the target posterior. To improve the …

Robust estimation of effective diffusions from multiscale data

G Garegnani, A Zanoni - arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.03132, 2021 - arxiv.org
We present a novel methodology based on filtered data and moving averages for estimating
effective dynamics from observations of multiscale systems. We show in a semi-parametric …

[PDF][PDF] Frequentist perspective on robust parameter estimation using the ensemble Kalman filter

S Reich - Stochastic Transport in Upper Ocean Dynamics, 2023 - library.oapen.org
Standard maximum likelihood or Bayesian approaches to parameter estimation for
stochastic differential equations are not robust to perturbations in the continuous-in-time …

Rough Stochastic Analysis with Jumps

AL Allan, J Pieper - arXiv preprint arXiv:2408.06978, 2024 - arxiv.org
We present a new version of the stochastic sewing lemma, capable of handling multiple
discontinuous control functions. This is then used to develop a theory of rough stochastic …

Malliavin Calculus for rough stochastic differential equations

F Bugini, M Coghi, T Nilssen - arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.12056, 2024 - arxiv.org
In this work we show that rough stochastic differential equations (RSDEs), as introduced by
Friz, Hocquet, and L\^ e (2021), are Malliavin differentiable. We use this to prove existence …

Filtering of SPDEs: The Ensemble Kalman Filter and related methods

S Ertel - arXiv preprint arXiv:2306.16863, 2023 - arxiv.org
This paper is concerned with the derivation and mathematical analysis of continuous time
Ensemble Kalman Filters (EnKBFs) and related data assimilation methods for Stochastic …