The physical understanding and timely prediction of extreme weather events are of
enormous importance to society due to their associated impacts. In this article, we highlight …

Recent studies have pointed to an important role of latent heating during cloud formation for
the dynamics of anticyclonic circulation anomalies such as atmospheric blocking. However …

This study investigates how warm conveyor belts (WCBs) will change in a future climate.
WCBs are strongly ascending airstreams in extratropical cyclones that are responsible for …

Skillful forecasts of extreme weather events have a major socio-economic relevance. Here,
we compare two complementary approaches to diagnose the predictability of extreme …

Ensemble sensitivity analysis (ESA) is a statistical technique applied within an ensemble to
reveal the atmospheric flow features that relate to a chosen aspect of the flow. Given its ease …

The state and evolution of the North Pacific jet (NPJ) stream strongly influences the
character of the downstream synoptic‐scale flow pattern over North America. This study …

An unprecedented heavy rainfall event occurred in Henan Province, China, during the
period of 1200 UTC 19-1200 UTC 20 July 2021 with a record of 522 mm accumulated …

全球业务数值模式存在偶发的中期预报时效误差极端大的问题, 对其溯源可为模式和同化系统
改进提供重要参考. 分析2020 年1—2 月中国气象局高分辨率全球同化预报系统(CMA-GFS) …

The problem of predictability of atmospheric processes such as blocking in the Northern
Hemisphere on intraseasonal timescales is considered using the operational version of the …

A heavy rainstorm occurred in Henan Province, China, between 19 and 21 July, 2021, with a
record-breaking 201.9 mm of precipitation in 1 h. To explore the key factors that led to …