Happy feet in a hostile world? The future of penguins depends on proactive management of current and expected threats

Y Ropert-Coudert, A Chiaradia, D Ainley… - Frontiers in Marine …, 2019 - frontiersin.org
Penguins face a wide range of threats. Most observed population changes have been
negative and have happened over the last 60 years. Today, populations of 11 penguin …

[HTML][HTML] The emperor penguin-Vulnerable to projected rates of warming and sea ice loss

PN Trathan, B Wienecke, C Barbraud… - Biological …, 2020 - Elsevier
We argue the need to improve climate change forecasting for ecology, and importantly, how
to relate long-term projections to conservation. As an example, we discuss the need for …

Multi‐season climate projections forecast declines in migratory monarch butterflies

ER Zylstra, N Neupane, EF Zipkin - Global Change Biology, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Climate change poses a unique threat to migratory species as it has the potential to alter
environmental conditions at multiple points along a species' migratory route. The eastern …

Grappling with uncertainty in ecological projections: a case study using the migratory monarch butterfly

N Neupane, EF Zipkin, SP Saunders, L Ries - Ecosphere, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Projecting species' responses to future climate conditions is critical for anticipating
conservation challenges and informing proactive policy and management decisions …

Integrated population models: Achieving their potential

F Frost, R McCrea, R King, O Gimenez… - Journal of Statistical …, 2023 - Springer
Precise and accurate estimates of abundance and demographic rates are primary quantities
of interest within wildlife conservation and management. Such quantities provide insight into …

Sea ice predicts long‐term trends in Adélie penguin population growth, but not annual fluctuations: Results from a range‐wide multiscale analysis

DT Iles, H Lynch, R Ji, C Barbraud… - Global Change …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Understanding the scales at which environmental variability affects populations is critical for
projecting population dynamics and species distributions in rapidly changing environments …

Accounting for sources of uncertainty when forecasting population responses to climate change

ER Zylstra, EF Zipkin - Journal of Animal Ecology, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract In Focus: Jaatinen, K., Westerbom, M., Norkko, A., Mustonen, O., & Koons, DN
(2021). Detrimental impacts of climate change may be exacerbated by density‐dependent …

Modeling population growth under climate stressors using age-structured matrix models

H Wada, W Choi, VM Coutts… - Integrative and …, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Climate resilience, a focus of many recent studies, has been examined from ecological,
physiological, and evolutionary perspectives. However, sampling biases toward adults …

Local-scale impacts of extreme events drive demographic asynchrony in neighbouring top predator populations

F Ventura, A Stanworth, S Crofts… - Biology …, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Extreme weather events are among the most critical aspects of climate change, but our
understanding of their impacts on biological populations remains limited. Here, we exploit …

Detecting climate signals in populations across life histories

S Jenouvrier, MC Long, CFD Coste… - Global Change …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Climate impacts are not always easily discerned in wild populations as detecting climate
change signals in populations is challenged by stochastic noise associated with natural …