Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
An extremeness threshold determines the regional response of floods to changes in rainfall extremes
Precipitation extremes will increase in a warming climate, but the response of flood
magnitudes to heavier precipitation events is less clear. Historically, there is little evidence …
magnitudes to heavier precipitation events is less clear. Historically, there is little evidence …
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble
Single model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) are valuable tools that can be used
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
Exploiting large ensembles for a better yet simpler climate model evaluation
We use a methodological framework exploiting the power of large ensembles to evaluate
how well ten coupled climate models represent the internal variability and response to …
how well ten coupled climate models represent the internal variability and response to …
[HTML][HTML] Vulnerability of ski tourism towards internal climate variability and climate change in the Swiss Alps
F Willibald, S Kotlarski, PP Ebner, M Bavay… - Science of the Total …, 2021 - Elsevier
Increasing temperatures and snow scarcity pose a serious threat to ski tourism. While the
impacts of climate change on ski tourism have been elaborated extensively, little is known …
impacts of climate change on ski tourism have been elaborated extensively, little is known …
Applying machine learning for drought prediction in a perfect model framework using data from a large ensemble of climate simulations
There is a strong scientific and social interest in understanding the factors leading to
extreme events in order to improve the management of risks associated with hazards like …
extreme events in order to improve the management of risks associated with hazards like …
[HTML][HTML] The inherent uncertainty of precipitation variability, trends, and extremes due to internal variability, with implications for Western US water resources
KA McKinnon, C Deser - Journal of Climate, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
The approximately century-long instrumental record of precipitation over land reflects a
single sampling of internal variability. Thus, the spatiotemporal evolution of the observations …
single sampling of internal variability. Thus, the spatiotemporal evolution of the observations …
Variability in frost occurrence under climate change and consequent risk of damage to trees of western Quebec, Canada
Climate change affects timings, frequency, and intensity of frost events in northern
ecosystems. However, our understanding of the impacts that frost will have on growth and …
ecosystems. However, our understanding of the impacts that frost will have on growth and …
Inter-seasonal connection of typical European heatwave patterns to soil moisture
Although prolonged heat periods have become a recurring feature of European climate, little
knowledge is available on dominant spatial patterns of heatwaves and their influence on …
knowledge is available on dominant spatial patterns of heatwaves and their influence on …
Uncertainty separation of drought projection in the 21st century using SMILEs and CMIP6
Reliable projection of future drought conditions is critical for informing adaptation in
response to future climate change. However, the uncertainty associated with drought …
response to future climate change. However, the uncertainty associated with drought …