T Matthieß - European Journal of Political Research, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Does pledge fulfilment bear any electoral consequences for government parties? While previous research on retrospective voting has largely focused on electoral accountability …
Do voters respond to political parties׳ promises or to their past actions? We use a suitable sequence of events in Swedish politics to provide the first answer to this question. In the …
Despite the economic turmoil of the time, a typical study of vote choice in the 2008 US Presidential Election would (falsely) find little evidence that voters' opinions about the future …
J Artés, E García-Viñuela, H Salas-Olmedo… - Electoral Studies, 2022 - Elsevier
In this paper we estimate the electoral gains and the timing of the gains, from the promise to build and the subsequent construction of a large infrastructure project, Madrid Rio Park …
H Jung - Japanese Journal of Political Science, 2021 - cambridge.org
In Korean society, regionalism has deep historical roots and has had a great influence on elections. A historic event occurred in 2014 when a conservative party candidate, Lee Jung …
A Graefe - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
While combining forecasts is well-known to reduce error, the question of how to best combine forecasts remains. Prior research suggests that combining is most beneficial when …
Although parties are documented to invest significant amounts of resources towards strengthening their hold on local governments, whether mayors benefit their parties in …
A Economia Política e, em particular, a literatura dos Ciclos Político Económicos debruçam- se sobre a análise da inter-relação entre os sectores político e económico. A ideia …