[HTML][HTML] Alternative techniques for forecasting mineral commodity prices

CAT Cortez, S Saydam, J Coulton, C Sammut - International Journal of …, 2018 - Elsevier
Forecasting mineral commodity (MC) prices has been an important and difficult task
traditionally addressed by econometric, stochastic-Gaussian and time series techniques …

Behavioural breaks in the heterogeneous agent model: The impact of herding, overconfidence, and market sentiment

J Kukacka, J Barunik - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 2013 - Elsevier
The main aim of this work is to incorporate selected findings from behavioural finance into a
Heterogeneous Agent Model using the Brock and Hommes (1998)[34] framework …

A Cournot duopoly game with heterogeneous players: nonlinear dynamics of the gradient rule versus local monopolistic approach

F Cavalli, A Naimzada - Applied Mathematics and Computation, 2014 - Elsevier
We analyze a duopolistic Cournotian game with firms producing a homogeneous good,
isoelastic demand function and linear total cost functions. In this economic setting, the …

Forecasting metal prices with a curvelet based multiscale methodology

K He, X Lu, Y Zou, KK Lai - Resources Policy, 2015 - Elsevier
Metal price movement is a complicated process with significant fluctuations, exhibiting
nonlinear characteristics. With the proposed Heterogeneous Market Hypothesis (HMH), we …

[HTML][HTML] Statistical indicators for the optimal prediction of failure times of stochastic reliability systems: A rational expectations-based approach

J Riccioni, JV Andersen, R Cerqueti - Information Sciences, 2025 - Elsevier
We introduce a method to estimate the failure time of a class of weighted k-out-of-n systems
using the idea of rational expectations, which to the best of our knowledge is a new …

Electricity price forecasts using a Curvelet denoising based approach

K He, Y Xu, Y Zou, L Tang - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its …, 2015 - Elsevier
Price movement in the electricity market can be viewed as a nonlinear and dynamic system,
exhibiting significant chaotic and multiscale characteristics. To conduct more accurate …

Some reflections on past and future of nonlinear dynamics in economics and finance

M Anufriev, D Radi, F Tramontana - Decisions in Economics and Finance, 2018 - Springer
This paper offers an overview of the literature on the economic and financial applications of
theory of nonlinear dynamics, especially bifurcation theory. After a short introductory …

Evolutionary technology adoption in an oligopoly market with forward-looking firms

F Lamantia, D Radi - Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear …, 2018 - pubs.aip.org
In this paper, we propose an evolutionary oligopoly game of technology adoption in a
market with isoelastic demand and two possible (linear) production technologies. While one …

Effects of taxation on the evolution of cooperation

L Xu, X Cao, W Du, Y Li - Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2018 - Elsevier
Motivated by extensively applied tax policy in real society, we investigate the evolution of
cooperation by incorporating tax mechanism into evolutionary game theory. We introduce …

Determining the embedding parameters governing long-term dynamics of copper prices

CAT Cortez, M Hitch, C Sammut, J Coulton… - Chaos, Solitons & …, 2018 - Elsevier
Mineral extraction activities and the commercialisation of mineral-based products in later
stages are fundamental for economic, technological and social development, so …