Informational efficiency and behaviour within in-play prediction markets

G Angelini, L De Angelis, C Singleton - International Journal of Forecasting, 2022 - Elsevier
Studies of financial market informational efficiency have proven burdensome in practice,
because it is difficult to pinpoint when news breaks and is known by some or all the …

National sentiment and economic behavior: Evidence from online betting on European football

S Braun, M Kvasnicka - Journal of Sports Economics, 2013 - journals.sagepub.com
National sentiment can have major implications for individual consumption and investment
choices but has been researched little by economists. This article studies how national …

[图书][B] The Oxford handbook of the economics of gambling

LV Williams, DS Siegel - 2013 - books.google.com
There is growing interest among academics and policymakers in the economics of
gambling, which has been stimulated by major regulatory and tax changes in the US, UK …

What drives biased odds in sports betting markets: Bettors' irrationality and the role of bookmakers

S Goto, T Yamada - International Review of Economics & Finance, 2023 - Elsevier
In sports betting markets, bookmakers may take speculative exposures to the game
outcomes when they can assess the probabilities better than others. We propose a simple …

To what extent can new web-based technology improve forecasts? Assessing the economic value of information derived from Virtual Globes and its rate of diffusion in …

L Green, MC Sung, T Ma, JEV Johnson - European Journal of Operational …, 2019 - Elsevier
As the rate of information availability increases, the ability to use web-based technology to
improve forecasting becomes increasingly important. We examine Virtual Globe technology …

The reverse favorite-longshot bias in the National Hockey League: Do bettors still score on longshots?

LM Woodland, BM Woodland - Journal of Sports Economics, 2011 - journals.sagepub.com
The favorite—longshot bias, the tendency of bettors to underbet favorites and overbet
longshots (underdogs), has received considerable attention in the economics and finance …

An empirical examination of the parimutuel sports lottery market versus the bookmaker market

J Chung, JH Hwang - Southern Economic Journal, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
A sports lottery in Korea presents a unique opportunity for comparing a parimutuel‐type
sports lottery market against a bookmaker market outside the realm of horse racing. Using …

Discovering a profitable trading strategy in an apparently efficient market: Exploiting the actions of less informed traders in speculative markets

MC Sung, JEV Johnson… - Journal of Business …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
This study explores the extent of mispricing in a market for state contingent claims that is
commonly believed to be efficient, the UK horserace betting market. We develop conditional …

[图书][B] Efficient prediction markets

J Vandenbruaene - 2022 - repository.uantwerpen.be
A core question in financial economics is whether markets are informationally efficient ie,
whether asset prices accurately reflect all available information. Although the empirical …

Recreational versus professional bettors: Performance differences and efficiency implications

AC Bruce, JEV Johnson, J Peirson - Economics Letters, 2012 - Elsevier
Using a novel dataset, which allows comparisons across heterogeneous sub-groups of pari-
mutuel bettors, we demonstrate significant behaviour and performance distinctions between …