China's transformation into a dynamic private-sector-led economy and its integration into the world economy have been among the most dramatic global economic developments of …
This paper analyzes waves in international capital flows. We develop a new methodology for identifying episodes of extreme capital flow movements using data that differentiates activity …
This article explores the effect of news shocks in open economies using worldwide giant oil and gas discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output …
O Blanchard, F Giavazzi - Brookings papers on economic activity, 2002 - muse.jhu.edu
IN 2000–0i THE CURRENT account deficit of Portugal reached 10 percent of its GDP, up from 2–3 percent at the start of the 1990s. These deficits are forecast to continue in the 8–9 …
We document the recent phenomenon of" uphill" flows of capital from nonindustrial to industrial countries and analyze whether this pattern of capital flows has hurt growth in …
We examine the determinants of external crises, focusing on the role of foreign liabilities and their composition. Using a variety of statistical tools and comprehensive data spanning 1970 …
PO Gourinchas, H Rey - Handbook of international economics, 2014 - Elsevier
We provide an overview of the recent developments of the literature on the determinants of long-term capital flows, global imbalances, and valuation effects. We present the main …
The period preceding the global financial crisis was characterized by a substantial widening of current account imbalances across the world. Since the onset of the crisis, these …
MD Chinn, H Ito - Journal of international money and Finance, 2007 - Elsevier
We critically assess several of the key assertions underlying the global saving glut hypothesis. First, we investigate whether the behavior of the US current account is …