A hierarchical reserving model for reported non-life insurance claims

J Crevecoeur, J Robben, K Antonio - Insurance: Mathematics and …, 2022 - Elsevier
Traditional non-life reserving models largely neglect the vast amount of information collected
over the lifetime of a claim. This information includes covariates describing the policy, claim …

Prediction of IBNR and RBNS Liabilities using Estimated Delay Probabilities by a Zero-Inflated Gamma Mixture Model

F Atatalab, ATP Najafabadi - Engineering Letters, 2023 - authorea.com
This article considers the problem of predicting the amount/number of claims that have been
incurred but not reported, say IBNR, and reported but not settled, say RBNS. Using the delay …

Matrix calculation for ultimate and 1-year risk in the Semi-Markov individual loss reserving model

C Bettonville, L d'Oultremont, M Denuit… - Scandinavian …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
This paper proposes a multistate model with a Semi-Markov dependence structure
describing the different stages in the settlement process of individual claims in general …

Non-life Insurance Reserve Prediction Using LightGBM Classification and Regression Models Ensemble

V Soloviev, V Feklin - Cyber-Physical Systems: Intelligent Models and …, 2022 - Springer
To predict insurance reserves at the micro-level without data aggregation, a two-stage
machine learning model based on enhanced LightGBM decision trees is proposed. The first …

Advancing Loss Reserving: A Hybrid Neural Network Approach for Individual Claim Development Prediction

B Schwab, JC Schneider - Available at SSRN 4769020, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
The accurate estimation of loss reserves is critical for the financial health of insurance
companies and informs numerous operational decisions, from pricing to strategic planning …

[图书][B] Predictive Power of Criminal Background on Losses

KM Whipple - 2020 - search.proquest.com
Product and data science teams for the auto insurance industry have been trying to increase
pricing segmentation with validated rating variables to decrease rate subsidization. The …

[HTML][HTML] ДВУХЭТАПНАЯ МОДЕЛЬ МАШИННОГО ОБУЧЕНИЯ С ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЕМ ДЕРЕВЬЕВ LIGHTGBM ДЛЯ ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЯ СТРАХОВЫХ …

ВИ Соловьев, ВГ Феклин… - … : Экономика, финансы и …, 2020 - cyberleninka.ru
Рассматривается проблема прогнозирования страховых резервов на микроуровне без
агрегирования данных для анализа с использованием деревьев решений с бустингом …

[PDF][PDF] DET RAN OTE

G Willame, M Denuit, J Trufin - detralytics.com
En assurances de dommages (IARD), les sinistres nécessitent parfois plusieurs années
avant d'être liquidés. Durant ce temps, les assureurs doivent constituer des réserves …

[PDF][PDF] DET RAN OTE

C Bettonville, R Van Oirbeek, M Denuit, J Trufin - detralytics.com
This paper proposes a multistate model with a Semi-Markov dependence structure
describing the different stages in the settlement process of individual claims in general …

Beyond Mean Modeling: Double GLMs and GAMs for Location, Scale and Shape (GAMLSS)

M Denuit, D Hainaut, J Trufin, M Denuit… - … Learning Methods for …, 2019 - Springer
In this chapter, the modeling of the mean response is supplemented with additional scores
linked to other parameters of the distribution, like dispersion, scale, shape or probability …