Seasonal forecasts of meteorological drought can aid decision-making in various sectors but
must be trustful and skillful. One of the major drawbacks of such forecasts lies in the inherent …

Seasonal hydrological forecasts play a critical role in water resources management. The
Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) data store provides open access to monthly …

Precipitation is the most important driver of the hydrological cycle but is challenging to
estimate over large scales from satellites and models. Here, we assessed the performance …

To support Mozambique in the mitigation and management of droughts, the World Food
Programme (WFP) is seeking to implement innovative approaches to protect people's …

Abstract The World Food Programme, in collaboration with the Mozambique National
Meteorology Institute, is partnering with several governmental and non-governmental …

The popular probability integral transform (PIT) uniform plot presents informative empirical
illustrations of five types of ensemble forecasts, that is, reliable, under‐confident, over …

Abstract Seasonal Forecasting of the Arabian Peninsula (AP) Surface Air Temperature (SAT)
during boreal summer (June–July-August; JJA) season is essential for socio-economic …

A skillful prediction of precipitation has great value, particularly for regions that suffer from
water stress. In this study, we assess the potential predictability and skill of the Copernicus …

Reliable forecast precipitation can support disaster prevention and mitigation and
sustainable socio-economic development. Improving forecast precipitation accuracy …

The quasi‐biennial oscillation (QBO) is the dominant mode of interannual variability in the
tropical stratosphere and influences climate worldwide. This study investigates the seasonal …