[HTML][HTML] Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics

ME Kretzschmar, B Ashby, E Fearon, CE Overton… - Epidemics, 2022 - Elsevier
Mathematical modelling and statistical inference provide a framework to evaluate different
non-pharmaceutical and pharmaceutical interventions for the control of epidemics that has …

A straightforward edge centrality concept derived from generalizing degree and strength

T Bröhl, K Lehnertz - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
Vertex degree—the number of edges that are incident to a vertex—is a fundamental concept
in network theory. It is the historically first and conceptually simplest centrality concept to rate …

Modeling the spatial and temporal spread of COVID-19 in Poland based on a spatial interaction model

PA Werner, M Kęsik-Brodacka, K Nowak… - … International Journal of …, 2022 - mdpi.com
This article describes an original methodology for integrating global SIR-like epidemic
models with spatial interaction models, which enables the forecasting of COVID-19 …

Vector-borne disease models with Lagrangian approach

D Gao, L Cao - Journal of Mathematical Biology, 2024 - Springer
We develop a multi-group and multi-patch model to study the effects of population dispersal
on the spatial spread of vector-borne diseases across a heterogeneous environment. The …

The role of inter-regional mobility in forecasting SARS-CoV-2 transmission

MHH Schoot Uiterkamp, M Gösgens… - Journal of the …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
In this paper, we present a method to forecast the spread of SARS-CoV-2 across regions
with a focus on the role of mobility. Mobility has previously been shown to play a significant …

Disparities in the Evolution of the COVID-19 Pandemic between Spanish Provinces

H López-Mendoza, A Montañés… - International Journal of …, 2021 - mdpi.com
Spain experienced a second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in autumn 2020, which has
been approached with different measures by regional authorities. We analyze the presence …

COUnty aggRegation mixup AuGmEntation (COURAGE) COVID-19 prediction

S Er, S Yang, T Zhao - Scientific Reports, 2021 - nature.com
The global spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2,
has casted a significant threat to mankind. As the COVID-19 situation continues to evolve …

Age-specific transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 during the first 2 years of the pandemic

O Boldea, A Alipoor, S Pei, J Shaman… - PNAS nexus, 2024 - academic.oup.com
During its first 2 years, the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic manifested as multiple waves shaped by
complex interactions between variants of concern, non-pharmaceutical interventions, and …

Reassessment of contact restrictions and testing campaigns against COVID-19 via spatio-temporal modeling

NC Ganegoda, KP Wijaya, J Páez Chávez, D Aldila… - Nonlinear …, 2022 - Springer
Since the earliest outbreak of COVID-19, the disease continues to obstruct life normalcy in
many parts of the world. The present work proposes a mathematical framework to improve …

Determining travel fluxes in epidemic areas

D Chen, Y Xue, Y Xiao - PLoS Computational Biology, 2021 - journals.plos.org
Infectious diseases attack humans from time to time and threaten the lives and survival of
people all around the world. An important strategy to prevent the spatial spread of infectious …