Probabilistic forecast information is rapidly spreading in the weather enterprise. Many
scientists agree that this is a positive development, but incorporating probability information …

Although it is now clear that trust affects risk perception, the opposite may be true as well—
risk perception may affect trust. This research investigated the effect of several previously …

In the spring of 2012, the United States' National Weather Service implemented new impact
based tornado warnings (IBWs) that include information about predicted storm impacts to …

Following the recommendations by the National Research Council (2006), the National
Institute of Standards and Technology (Kuligowski 2013), and academic experts in weather …

Risk assessments are common in multiple domains, from finance to medicine. They require
evaluating an event's potential severity and likelihood. We investigate the possible …

Heat communication interventions are an essential way that public safety organizations can
reduce extreme heat consequences for at-risk groups. Although the aim of these …

Operational agencies face significant challenges related to the verification and evaluation of
weather forecasts. These challenges were investigated in a series of online workshops and …

NOAA has recently placed greater emphasis on implementing social science findings into its
products, but perceptions of social science research among National Weather Service …

This paper uses the “Super Outbreak” of 2011 as a case study to examine the potential gaps
between the dissemination of severe weather warnings and the public's behavioral …

Forecast graphics depicting a hurricane track and uncertainty cone have become pervasive
in the communication of hurricane risk. This study examined whether the effect of hurricane …