[HTML][HTML] Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system

J Fan, J Meng, J Ludescher, X Chen, Y Ashkenazy… - Physics reports, 2021 - Elsevier
Global warming, extreme climate events, earthquakes and their accompanying
socioeconomic disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear …

Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis: multiple sources and global applications

A Grezio, A Babeyko, MA Baptista… - Reviews of …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Applying probabilistic methods to infrequent but devastating natural events is intrinsically
challenging. For tsunami analyses, a suite of geophysical assessments should be in …

Uniform California earthquake rupture forecast, version 3 (UCERF3)—The time‐independent model

EH Field, RJ Arrowsmith, GP Biasi… - Bulletin of the …, 2014 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP14)
present the time‐independent component of the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture …

[HTML][HTML] Why is probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) still used?

F Mulargia, PB Stark, RJ Geller - Physics of the Earth and Planetary …, 2017 - Elsevier
Even though it has never been validated by objective testing, Probabilistic Seismic Hazard
Analysis (PSHA) has been widely used for almost 50 years by governments and industry in …

A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for Indonesia

N Horspool, I Pranantyo, J Griffin… - … Hazards and Earth …, 2014 - nhess.copernicus.org
Probabilistic hazard assessments are a fundamental tool for assessing the threats posed by
hazards to communities and are important for underpinning evidence-based decision …

Uniform California earthquake rupture forecast, version 2 (UCERF 2)

EH Field, TE Dawson, KR Felzer… - Bulletin of the …, 2009 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract<? A3B2 twb 0.3 w?> The 2007 Working Group on California Earthquake
Probabilities (WGCEP, presents the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast …

[HTML][HTML] Earthquake hazard and risk analysis for natural and induced seismicity: towards objective assessments in the face of uncertainty

JJ Bommer - Bulletin of earthquake engineering, 2022 - Springer
The fundamental objective of earthquake engineering is to protect lives and livelihoods
through the reduction of seismic risk. Directly or indirectly, this generally requires …

Developing, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions

L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Comparison of short-term and time-independent earthquake forecast models for southern California

A Helmstetter, YY Kagan… - Bulletin of the …, 2006 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We have initially developed a time-independent forecast for southern California by
smoothing the locations of magnitude 2 and larger earthquakes. We show that using small …

The collaboratory for the study of earthquake predictability: Achievements and priorities

D Schorlemmer, MJ Werner… - Seismological …, 2018 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
ABSTRACT The Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is a global
cyberinfrastructure for prospective evaluations of earthquake forecast models and prediction …